Match Info

Liga Pro - Round 23

Date: 2 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Bellavista (Ambato)

Where to Watch on TV:


Chile	Zapping Sports
Ecuador	Zapping, Zapping Sports, Zapping Sports+
Peru	Zapping Sports
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Deportivo Macará		Guayaquil City

	1	X	2
	1.53	3.50	6.25	Watch
	1.51	3.50	5.75
	1.53	3.75	6.25	Watch
	1.61	3.65	7.40
	1.48	3.95	7.51	Watch
	1.57	3.35	7.30
	1.59	3.54	6.32	Watch
	1.54	3.55	6.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.66)	3.6 ↑ (3.45)	6.6 ↑ (5.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Macará
60.1%

Draw
25.8%

Guayaquil City
14.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.7%

26.8%

17.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.7%

25.4%

16.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Macará has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Guayaquil City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Macará than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guayaquil City than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	11.1%	22.2%

Deportivo Macará - Guayaquil City Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Macará will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Guayaquil City will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Macará: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Macará (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rodriguez R. (G) 25. Bolanos D. 21. Etchebarne S. (C) 26. Medranda M. 27. Mohor J. 16. Cazares J. 5. Estacio J. 28. Campana A. I. 10. Miranda M. 87. Klinger J. 9. Posse F.	1. Napa G. (G) 17. Ayovi Caicedo J. J. 3. Rodriguez Y. 29. Quinonez J. 4. Ladines Calvache E. P. 6. Arias R. 23. Bolanos M. (C) 14. Arroyo D. 20. Laurino S. 80. Gonzalez P. 11. Mero E.
Substitutes
13. Ayala M. 18. Cabeza M. 50. Caicedo C. 77. Chala J. 30. Chamba T. 52. Coello B. 12. Cuero D. (G) 3. Espinoza J. 22. Ferro L. 4. Jimenez J. 14. Marrufo J. 19. Ramos P.	51. Cabezas E. 33. Caicedo R. 21. Dorregaray D. 70. Mancilla P. 19. Naula A. 9. Palma M. 12. Perea R. (G) 50. Rivadeneira F. 15. Sambonino K.
Coaches
Sanguinetti G.	Gavilanez P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
10', Ayovi Caicedo J. J. 🟥,
15', Napa G. 🟨,
35', 1 - 0, Posse F. ⚽,
39', Miranda M. 🟥,
45+2', 1 - 1, Mero E. ⚽, Arias R. (A),
45+10', Ladines Calvache E. P. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
58', Estacio J. 🟨,
58', Gonzalez P. 🟨,
61', 2 - 1, Campana A. I. ⚽, Estacio J. (A),
63', Klinger J. ↓, Ayala M. ↑,
63', Ladines Calvache E. P. ↓, Caicedo R. ↑,
68', Arroyo D. 🟨,
78', Campana A. I. ↓, Chala J. ↑,
78', Estacio J. ↓, Caicedo C. ↑,
79', Gonzalez P. ↓, Naula A. ↑,
79', Bolanos M. ↓, Dorregaray D. ↑,
79', Quinonez J. ↓, Cabezas E. ↑,
85', Mohor J. ↓, Jimenez J. ↑,
85', Laurino S. ↓, Mancilla P. ↑,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: ) and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Macará won 1.

Macará has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Guayaquil City is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Guayaquil City may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Macará is the obvious favorite.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Macará won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 25:17. (average 1.5:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Macará won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:6. (average 1.9:0.8).

Standings

Championship Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Macara	31	16	6	9	43:34	9	54

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Macará
Ecuadorian Copa
29.07.26	Gualaceo - Deportivo Macará	2:1 penalties ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
26.07.26	SD Aucas - Deportivo Macará	1:4 ✺
22.07.26	Deportivo Macará - Deportivo Cuenca	3:0 ✺
17.07.26	Delfín - Deportivo Macará	2:1 ✺
14.07.26	Deportivo Macará - Mushuc Runa	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 LWWLW
- Guayaquil City FC
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
27.07.26	Guayaquil City - Universidad Católica del Ecuador	0:0 ✺
23.07.26	Leones del Norte - Guayaquil City	1:1 ✺
19.07.26	Guayaquil City - Manta	1:0 ✺
15.07.26	Barcelona Guayaquil - Guayaquil City	1:1 ✺
11.07.26	Guayaquil City - Delfín	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.1 TTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Liga Pro
12.04.26	Guayaquil City - Deportivo Macará	2:1
06.08.22	Guayaquil City - Deportivo Macará	0:0
20.03.22	Deportivo Macará - Guayaquil City	2:0
24.07.21	Deportivo Macará - Guayaquil City	0:2
20.02.21	Guayaquil City - Deportivo Macará	3:1
02.11.20	Deportivo Macará - Guayaquil City	1:1
08.03.20	Guayaquil City - Deportivo Macará	1:1

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