Match Info

Liga Pro - Round 9

Date: 19 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Bellavista (Ambato)

Referee: Andrade Arreaga J. C. (Ecu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Chile	Zapping Sports
Ecuador	Zapping, Zapping Sports, Zapping Sports+
Peru	Zapping Sports


	Deportivo Macará		Barcelona Guayaquil

	1	X	2
	2.5	3	2.85	Watch
	2.4	3	2.92	Watch
	2.53	3.15	3.18
	2.47	3.03	3.04	Watch
	2.4	2.8	2.8
	2.48	2.93	3.07	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↑ (2.44)	2.99 ↓ (3.04)	2.98 ↓ (3.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Macará
37.7%

Draw
31.1%

Barcelona Guayaquil
31.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.3%

30.7%

30.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.9%

30.4%

31.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Macará has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Barcelona Guayaquil has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Macará than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

The ML Model estimate for Barcelona Guayaquil aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	33.3%	66.7%

Deportivo Macará - Barcelona Guayaquil Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Barcelona will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rodriguez R. (G) 5. Estacio J. 21. Etchebarne S. 14. Marrufo J. (C) 13. Ayala M. 8. Blanc G. 16. Cazares J. 10. Miranda M. 20. Viera M. 9. Posse F. 7. Paz F.	1. Contreras J. (C) 27. Vargas W. 33. Baez J. 44. Chala Rosales W. J. 15. Perlaza J. 8. Celiz M. 35. Intriago J. 7. Gomez J. 23. Martinez T. 29. Mejia M. 9. Benedetto D.
Substitutes
50. Caicedo C. 77. Chala J. 30. Chamba T. 12. Cuero D. (G) 3. Espinoza J. 11. Espinoza T. 4. Jimenez J. 87. Klinger J. 26. Medranda M. 27. Mohor J. 15. Tello M. 17. Zambrano J.	63. Caidedo K. 16. Cano L. 18. Carabali B. 26. Castillo B. 22. Cevallos J. (G) 32. Lugo M. 5. Montano C. 11. Parrales M. 28. Quinonez Ruiz J. R. 14. Rangel A. 4. Vallecilla G. 21. Villalba H.
Coaches
Sanguinetti G.	Farias Acosta C. A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
27', 0 - 1, Benedetto D. ⚽, Perlaza J. (A),
32', Ayala M. 🟨,
36', Estacio J. ↓, Espinoza T. ↑,
45+2', Gomez J. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Marrufo J. ↓, Medranda M. ↑,
46', Blanc G. ↓, Tello M. ↑,
60', Celiz M. 🟨,
61', Martinez T. ↓, Quinonez Ruiz J. R. ↑,
61', Gomez J. ↓, Castillo B. ↑,
71', Miranda M. ↓, Chamba T. ↑,
71', Intriago J. ↓, Lugo M. ↑,
71', Benedetto D. ↓, Cano L. ↑,
75', Posse F. 🟨,
78', Mejia M. ↓, Vallecilla G. ↑,
80', Chala Rosales W. J. 🟨,
81', 1 - 1, Posse F. ⚽, Paz F. (A),
85', Viera M. ↓, Klinger J. ↑,
90+2', 2 - 1, Posse F. ⚽, Klinger J. (A),
90+12', 3 - 1, Tello M. ⚽,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Macará won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Barcelona may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Macará won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 19:27. (average 1:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Macará won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:7. (average 0.7:0.7).

Standings

Championship Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Macara	31	16	6	9	43:34	9	54
6	Barcelona SC	30	11	11	8	32:25	7	44

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Macará
Copa Sudamericana
16.04.26	Tigre - Deportivo Macará	0:1 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
12.04.26	Guayaquil City - Deportivo Macará	2:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
09.04.26	Deportivo Macará - América de Cali	1:1 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
05.04.26	Deportivo Macará - SD Aucas	0:1 ✺
21.03.26	Deportivo Cuenca - Deportivo Macará	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20 WLTLT
- Barcelona Guayaquil
Copa Libertadores
14.04.26	Boca Juniors - Barcelona Guayaquil	3:0 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
10.04.26	Barcelona Guayaquil - Leones del Norte	2:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
07.04.26	Barcelona Guayaquil - Cruzeiro	0:1 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
03.04.26	LDU Quito - Barcelona Guayaquil	0:2 ✺
22.03.26	Barcelona Guayaquil - Universidad Católica del Ecuador	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 LWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Liga Pro
17.08.25	Barcelona Guayaquil - Deportivo Macará	0:2
26.04.25	Deportivo Macará - Barcelona Guayaquil	0:1
15.09.24	Barcelona Guayaquil - Deportivo Macará	2:1
29.03.24	Deportivo Macará - Barcelona Guayaquil	1:1
10.09.22	Barcelona Guayaquil - Deportivo Macará	5:3
24.04.22	Deportivo Macará - Barcelona Guayaquil	0:1
28.11.21	Deportivo Macará - Barcelona Guayaquil	1:1

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