Match Info

Date: 1 November 2026, Sunday ⏱️ In 4d 6h 📅 Remind Me


	Guayaquil City		Libertad Loja

	1	X	2
	1.96	3.2	3.6
	1.92	3.2	3.75
	1.94	3.37	4.11
	1.91	3.38	3.96	Watch
	1.85	3.3	4
	1.94	3.37	3.91	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↓ (2.07)	3.3 ↓ (3.33)	3.89 ↑ (3.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guayaquil City
48.2%

Draw
28%

Libertad Loja
23.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

45.1%

28%

26.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.8%

27.6%

26.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guayaquil City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Libertad Loja has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guayaquil City than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Libertad Loja than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Guayaquil City - Libertad Loja Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Guayaquil City is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Libertad has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Guayaquil City holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Guayaquil City has recorded 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:8 (averaging 0.8:1.6 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Guayaquil City against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with 3:3 goals (averaging 1.5:1.5 per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Libertad Loja - the odds 3.48 are the expected chance of winning is 26.84%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guayaquil City FC
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
25.10.26	Emelec - Guayaquil City	0:1 ✺
17.10.26	Libertad Loja - Guayaquil City	4:0 ✺
10.10.26	Guayaquil City - Emelec	3:2 ✺
19.09.26	Guayaquil City - Leones del Norte	1:1 ✺
12.09.26	Guayaquil City - Mushuc Runa	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.9 WLWTW
- Libertad Loja
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
25.10.26	Leones del Norte - Libertad Loja	4:1 ✺
17.10.26	Libertad Loja - Guayaquil City	4:0 ✺
09.10.26	Libertad Loja - Leones del Norte	3:0 ✺
19.09.26	Emelec - Libertad Loja	1:2 ✺
13.09.26	Libertad Loja - Independiente del Valle	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Liga Pro
17.10.26	Libertad Loja - Guayaquil City	4:0
15.08.26	Guayaquil City - Libertad Loja	2:2
21.04.26	Libertad Loja - Guayaquil City	0:1
09.10.23	Libertad Loja - Guayaquil City	1:0
06.05.23	Guayaquil City - Libertad Loja	1:1

Guayaquil City - Libertad Loja