The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Deportivo Madryn 53.5%
Draw 29.5%
Ferro Gen.Pico 17%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
55.7%
29.8%
14.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
68.4%
24.3%
11.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Madryn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
Ferro Gen.Pico has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Madryn than the current prediction. (+14.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportivo Madryn, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferro Gen.Pico than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ferro Gen.Pico, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
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Preview
One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Promotion ~ Play Offs) and 13).
Recent matches Deportivo Madryn is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Ferro Gen.Pico is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Ferro Gen.Pico could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Deportivo Madryn is a favorite.
Last 6 head-to-head matches Deportivo Madryn won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-4.
Including matches at home between the teams Deportivo Madryn won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-2.