The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Deportivo Morón 47.3%
Draw 33.5%
Estudiantes de Caseros 19.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
48.7%
32.8%
18.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.7%
32.8%
18.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Morón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
Estudiantes de Caseros has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Morón than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estudiantes de Caseros than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
33.3%
16.7%
Deportivo Morón - Estudiantes de Caseros Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Deportivo Morón will win (votes: 3 - 50%). CA Estudiantes will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. CA Estudiantes (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Salva J. (G) 4. Contreras E. 2. Salvareschi B. 6. Cardozo L. 3. Vaquero I. M. 8. Kubiszyn S. 5. Burruchaga M. 10. Olivares J. 11. Fagundez F. 7. Berterame G. 9. Toloza F.
1. Campisi N. (G) 2. Benitez J. 6. Caro Nicolas 5. Melo R. (C) 4. Bernardi B. 3. Squie T. 7. Ardiles F. 8. Sena F. 10. Camacho S. 11. Acosta E. 9. Melo A.
Substitutes
19. Benitez M. 20. Bulacio D. 12. Diaz F. (G) 18. Esquivel J. 16. Gonzalez G. 15. Gonzalez M. 14. Lauro T. 13. Ramirez L. 17. Ramirez T.
13. Albarracin M. 20. Almiron E. 17. Degregorio B. 14. Dure F. 18. Nunez M. 15. Nunez T. 19. Salas T. 16. Sanchez de Leon M. 12. Vila F. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
16', Cardozo L. 🟨,
25', Benitez J. 🟨,
32', 1 - 0, Fagundez F. ⚽, Berterame G. (A),
39', Bernardi B. 🟨,
40', Acosta E. 🟥,
43', Benitez J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Melo A. ↓, Albarracin M. ↑,
46', Cardozo L. ↓, Gonzalez M. ↑,
57', Kubiszyn S. 🟨,
67', Kubiszyn S. ↓, Gonzalez G. ↑,
67', Toloza F. ↓, Bulacio D. ↑,
73', Albarracin M. 🟨,
73', 🟨,
73', Berterame G. ↓, Esquivel J. ↑,
74', Sena F. ↓, Dure F. ↑,
74', Camacho S. ↓, Degregorio B. ↑,
84', Gonzalez M. ↓, Lauro T. ↑,
87', Ardiles F. ↓, Nunez M. ↑,
87', Squie T. ↓, Salas T. ↑,
88', Salas T. 🟨,
90+2', 2 - 0, Gonzalez G. ⚽,
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 12).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Morón won 3.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Deportivo Morón may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Deportivo Morón is the team to beat.
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Morón won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 0.9:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Deportivo Morón won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:4. (average 1:0.6).
Last Results with these Odds
Deportivo Morón - the odds 1.92 are the expected chance of winning is 48.65%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.