Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 13

Date: 3 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Nuevo Francisco Urbano (Moron)

Referee: Meneses W. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports, TyC Sports Play
World	TyC Sports Internacional


	Deportivo Morón		Defensores Unidos

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.5	5.5	Watch
	1.75	3.1	4.8
	1.66	3.35	5.6	Watch
	1.67	3.41	6.97
	1.62	3.33	6.74	Watch
	1.73	3.2	5
	1.66	3.5	5.49	Watch
	1.66	3.35	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↑ (1.65)	3.34 ↓ (3.4)	5.71 ↓ (6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Morón
55.7%

Draw
27.9%

Defensores Unidos
16.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.8%

27.6%

15.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.4%

26.4%

14.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Morón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Defensores Unidos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Morón than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Defensores Unidos than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Deportivo Morón - Defensores Unidos Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Finochietto L. (G) 4. Cabrera J. M. 2. Lazza E. 6. Zarate N. 3. Vaquero I. M. 8. Kubiszyn S. 5. Ferreira P. 10. Gonzalez Y. 11. Bittolo M. 7. Sanguinetti F. 9. Costantino I.	1. Sanchez A. (G) 4. Arguello J. 2. Laumann F. 6. Osinaga A. 3. Rassol F. 8. Sanchez S. 5. Velez R. 7. Ferreyra T. 10. Trinidad E. 11. Patroni S. 9. Aguirre D. E.
Substitutes
12. Acuna M. (G) 15. Baez F. 16. Disanto L. 19. Franco E. 17. Gonzalez G. 14. Livera J. 13. Ramirez 20. Reynaga R. 18. Sala S. G.	12. Aquino M. (G) 14. Caballo M. 18. Carboni B. 17. Ceratto L. 15. Cournou C. 19. Ferulano M. 16. Juarez R. 13. Scolari J. 20. Toledo A.
Coaches
Otta W.	Gigante D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Costantino I. ⚽,
15', Ferreira P. 🟨,
18', Rassol F. 🟨,
19', Arguello J. 🟨,
22', Ferreira P. ↓, Franco E. ↑,
25', Rassol F. 🟨,
32', 2 - 0, Osinaga A. (Own goal),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Aguirre D. E. ↓, Ceratto L. ↑,
46', Patroni S. ↓, Carboni B. ↑,
55', 3 - 0, Costantino I. ⚽,
58', Kubiszyn S. ↓, Baez F. ↑,
58', Gonzalez Y. ↓, Gonzalez G. ↑,
59', 4 - 0, Bittolo M. ⚽,
65', Cabrera J. M. 🟨,
66', Sanguinetti F. ↓, Sala S. G. ↑,
66', Costantino I. ↓, Reynaga R. ↑,
79', Sanchez S. ↓, Ferulano M. ↑,
79', Trinidad E. ↓, Juarez R. ↑,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Deportivo Morón is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Defensores Unidos's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Deportivo Morón is considered a favorite.

We predict that Deportivo Morón will win today's game, with odds of 1.74.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Morón won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.5:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Deportivo Morón won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Morón
Argentinian Primera Nacional
26.04.25	Estudiantes de Caseros - Deportivo Morón	0:1 ✺
20.04.25	Nueva Chicago - Deportivo Morón	1:2 ✺
13.04.25	Deportivo Morón - Talleres de Remedios de Escalada	3:0 ✺
06.04.25	Estudiantes de Río Cuarto - Deportivo Morón	1:0 ✺
30.03.25	Deportivo Morón - Defensores de Belgrano	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.3 WWWLW
- Defensores Unidos
Argentinian Primera Nacional
26.04.25	Defensores Unidos - Talleres de Remedios de Escalada	0:0 ✺
20.04.25	Estudiantes de Río Cuarto - Defensores Unidos	0:0 ✺
12.04.25	Defensores Unidos - Defensores de Belgrano	1:2 ✺
05.04.25	Chacarita Juniors - Defensores Unidos	2:0 ✺
30.03.25	Defensores Unidos - San Telmo	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 TTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
10.08.24	Deportivo Morón - Defensores Unidos	1:1
23.03.24	Defensores Unidos - Deportivo Morón	2:0
01.07.23	Deportivo Morón - Defensores Unidos	1:0
26.02.23	Defensores Unidos - Deportivo Morón	2:0

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