Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 26

Date: 9 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Nuevo Francisco Urbano (Moron)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports Play


	Deportivo Morón		Estudiantes de Río Cuarto

	1	X	2
	2.2	2.7	4.2	Watch
	2.2	2.75	3.6
	2.22	2.68	3.75	Watch
	2.21	2.73	4.32
	2.27	2.58	4.14	Watch
	2.3	2.7	3.6
	2.19	2.69	4.17	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↑ (2.2)	2.69 ↓ (2.91)	3.97 ↑ (3.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Morón
41.9%

Draw
34.7%

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto
23.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.8%

32.3%

24.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.5%

34.4%

23.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Morón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Morón than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estudiantes de Río Cuarto than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	60%	0%

Deportivo Morón - Estudiantes de Río Cuarto Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Deportivo Morón will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Salva J. (G) 4. Cabrera J. M. 2. Lorenzon F. 6. Lazza E. 3. Vazquez F. 8. Olivares J. 5. Ferreira P. 11. Bittolo M. (C) 10. Gonzalez Y. 7. Sanguinetti F. 9. Costantino I.	1. Olivera B. (G) 4. Antonini J. 2. Maffini G. (C) 6. Ojeda S. 3. Cobos F. 8. Ruiz M. 5. Cabrera A. 11. Nelle S. 7. Garnerone M. 9. Fontana A. 10. Alvarez F.
Substitutes
18. Baez F. 19. Contreras E. 13. Cortave M. 16. Disanto L. 20. Fergonzi R. 12. Finochietto L. (G) 17. Franco E. 15. Gonzalez G. 14. Livera J.	13. Angelini L. 12. Bigo J. (G) 18. Bornia R. 16. Cuello A. 14. Fenoglio V. 19. Ferreira J. 20. Gonzalez L. 17. Orosco B. 15. Vazquez F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Costantino I. ⚽,
8', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Ruiz M. ↓, Orosco B. ↑,
46', Fontana A. ↓, Gonzalez L. ↑,
60', Antonini J. 🟨,
63', Ferreira P. ↓, Gonzalez G. ↑,
64', Olivares J. ↓, Contreras E. ↑,
64', Bittolo M. ↓, Franco E. ↑,
69', Ojeda S. 🟨,
70', Alvarez F. ↓, Fenoglio V. ↑,
70', Nelle S. ↓, Ferreira J. ↑,
76', 2 - 0, Costantino I. ⚽,
79', 2 - 1, Ferreira J. ⚽,
90+2', Cobos F. 🟨,
90+4', 🟨,

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ))

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Morón won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Deportivo Morón is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Morón won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:11. (average 1:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Deportivo Morón won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:6. (average 1.8:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Morón
Argentinian Primera Nacional
04.08.25	Defensores de Belgrano - Deportivo Morón	0:0 ✺
26.07.25	Deportivo Morón - Chacarita Juniors	0:2 ✺
19.07.25	San Telmo - Deportivo Morón	1:2 ✺
12.07.25	Deportivo Morón - Agropecuario Argentino	1:1 ✺
06.07.25	Gimnasia Jujuy - Deportivo Morón	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 TLWTT
- Estudiantes de Río Cuarto
Argentinian Primera Nacional
03.08.25	Estudiantes de Río Cuarto - Talleres de Remedios de Escalada	2:0 ✺
27.07.25	Estudiantes de Río Cuarto - Nueva Chicago	0:1 ✺
20.07.25	Defensores de Belgrano - Estudiantes de Río Cuarto	0:0 ✺
13.07.25	Estudiantes de Río Cuarto - Chacarita Juniors	1:1 ✺
05.07.25	San Telmo - Estudiantes de Río Cuarto	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
06.04.25	Estudiantes de Río Cuarto - Deportivo Morón	1:0
08.09.24	Deportivo Morón - Estudiantes de Río Cuarto	2:1
21.04.24	Estudiantes de Río Cuarto - Deportivo Morón	2:0
11.09.23	Estudiantes de Río Cuarto - Deportivo Morón	2:1
30.04.23	Deportivo Morón - Estudiantes de Río Cuarto	2:0
28.07.22	Deportivo Morón - Estudiantes de Río Cuarto	2:2
30.11.20	Estudiantes de Río Cuarto - Deportivo Morón	0:0

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