Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 22

Date: 12 July 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Nuevo Francisco Urbano (Moron)

Referee: Loustau J. P. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV Sports
South-america	DGO Latin America


	Deportivo Morón		Agropecuario Argentino

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.25	4.33	Watch
	1.78	3.1	4.6
	1.82	3.1	4.55	Watch
	1.92	3.02	4.93
				Watch
	1.75	3.1	5
	1.79	3.14	4.88	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↓ (1.89)	3.12 ↓ (3.21)	4.72 ↑ (4.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Morón
50.7%

Draw
29.7%

Agropecuario Argentino
19.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.7%

28.7%

22.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.5%

28.2%

22.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Morón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Agropecuario Argentino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Morón than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Agropecuario Argentino than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
91.7%	8.3%	0%

Deportivo Morón - Agropecuario Argentino Predictions

Users Predictions: Deportivo Morón will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.03% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Deportivo Morón will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Finochietto L. (G) 4. Cabrera J. M. 2. Lorenzon F. 6. Lazza E. 3. Vaquero I. M. 8. Franco E. 5. Kubiszyn S. 7. Sanguinetti F. 10. Gonzalez Y. 11. Bittolo M. 9. Fergonzi R.	1. Salort G. (G) 3. Leyendeker M. 2. Sanchez F. 6. Sills J. 4. Miranda F. 8. Mosqueira R. 5. Henriquez F. 10. Ramos M. 7. Blando B. 9. Gagliardi A. 11. Melo A.
Substitutes
18. Baez F. 19. Beron J. 14. Burruchaga M. 12. Casalnuovo M. (G) 16. Contreras E. 13. Cortave M. 20. Costantino I. 17. Olivares J. 15. Vazquez F.	17. Aguirre E. 16. Aranda B. 19. Cabello J. 20. Coronel F. 14. Lemos D. 13. Molina M. 12. Noce J. (G) 15. Sanchez N. 18. Vasquez D.
Coaches
Otta W.	Adrover A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
21', Cabrera J. M. 🟨,
23', Gonzalez Y. 🟨,
35', Gagliardi A. 🟨,
38', Lazza E. 🟨,
39', Otta W. 🟨,
45+5', Salort G. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
55', Miranda F. ↓, Sanchez N. ↑,
55', Melo A. ↓, Vasquez D. ↑,
61', Franco E. ↓, Contreras E. ↑,
61', Fergonzi R. ↓, Beron J. ↑,
70', Henriquez F. ↓, Molina M. ↑,
70', Mosqueira R. ↓, Cabello J. ↑,
72', Sills J. 🟨,
73', Bittolo M. ↓, Olivares J. ↑,
75', Lazza E. 🟨,
76', Kubiszyn S. ↓, Vazquez F. ↑,
79', Leyendeker M. ↓, Aranda B. ↑,
84', 0 - 1, Gagliardi A. ⚽,
86', Vasquez D. 🟨,
88', 1 - 1, Gonzalez Y. ⚽,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ))

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Morón won 1.

Deportivo Morón is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Agropecuario's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Deportivo Morón may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Deportivo Morón is considered a favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Morón won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:7. (average 0.9:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Deportivo Morón won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 1.7:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Morón
Argentinian Primera Nacional
06.07.25	Gimnasia Jujuy - Deportivo Morón	0:0 ✺
22.06.25	Central Norte - Deportivo Morón	0:0 ✺
14.06.25	Deportivo Morón - Almirante Brown	2:0 ✺
07.06.25	Deportivo Morón - Colón	1:0 ✺
31.05.25	Deportivo Morón - Chaco For Ever	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 TTWWW
- Agropecuario Argentino
Argentinian Primera Nacional
06.07.25	Agropecuario Argentino - Talleres de Remedios de Escalada	2:1 ✺
29.06.25	Estudiantes de Río Cuarto - Agropecuario Argentino	1:1 ✺
22.06.25	Agropecuario Argentino - Defensores de Belgrano	1:1 ✺
14.06.25	Chacarita Juniors - Agropecuario Argentino	3:0 ✺
01.06.25	San Telmo - Agropecuario Argentino	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WTTLT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
09.03.25	Agropecuario Argentino - Deportivo Morón	1:0
17.06.23	Deportivo Morón - Agropecuario Argentino	2:1
13.02.23	Agropecuario Argentino - Deportivo Morón	3:1
08.10.22	Agropecuario Argentino - Deportivo Morón	0:0
22.12.20	Agropecuario Argentino - Deportivo Morón	1:0
01.10.19	Agropecuario Argentino - Deportivo Morón	0:1
05.10.18	Deportivo Morón - Agropecuario Argentino	1:0

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