Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 21

Date: 6 July 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio 23 de Agosto (Jujuy)

Referee: Penel A. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports Play


	Gimnasia Jujuy		Deportivo Morón

	1	X	2
	1.83	3	5	Watch
	1.75	3.1	5
	1.82	2.92	4.95	Watch
	1.86	2.88	5.84
				Watch
	1.7	3.1	5.5
	1.81	2.95	5.23
	1.72	3.15	5.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↑ (1.77)	3.01 ↓ (3.3)	5.24 ↑ (5)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Gimnasia Jujuy
51.7%

Draw
30.6%

Deportivo Morón
17.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.9%

28.4%

18.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.8%

27.4%

18.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gimnasia Jujuy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Deportivo Morón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnasia Jujuy than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Morón than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.6%	27.3%	9.1%

Gimnasia Jujuy - Deportivo Morón Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Gimnasia Jujuy will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Deportivo Morón will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gimnasia Jujuy: 35.2% – 92%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Gimnasia Jujuy (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Alvarez M. (G) 4. Palazzo B. 2. Cosaro G. (C) 6. Varela J. 3. Endrizzi E. 8. Camacho S. 5. Soria H. 7. Maidana F. 10. Molina F. 9. Quintana A. 11. Menendez C.	1. Salva J. (G) 4. Cabrera J. M. 2. Lorenzon F. 6. Lazza E. 3. Vaquero I. M. 8. Gonzalez G. 5. Franco E. 10. Gonzalez Y. 11. Bittolo M. (C) 7. Sanguinetti F. 9. Costantino I.
Substitutes
12. Anchoverri S. (G) 14. Barreto R. 15. Cordoba J. 20. Fernandez G. 18. Juarez D. 17. Noble M. 13. Sanchez S. 16. Trasante J. 19. Velazquez R.	18. Baez F. 19. Beron J. 14. Burruchaga M. 16. Contreras E. 13. Cortave M. 17. Disanto L. 20. Fergonzi R. 12. Finochietto L. (G) 15. Vazquez F.
Coaches
Modolo M.	Otta W.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
6', Dure F. 🟨,
16', Bittolo M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', Sanguinetti F. ↓, Beron J. ↑,
59', Costantino I. ↓, Fergonzi R. ↑,
61', Casa M. ↓, Velazquez R. ↑,
62', Dure F. ↓, Noble M. ↑,
69', Lorenzon F. 🟨,
75', Bittolo M. ↓, Contreras E. ↑,
78', Menendez C. ↓, Fernandez G. ↑,
85', Gonzalez Y. ↓, Cortave M. ↑,
85', Kubiszyn S. ↓, Burruchaga M. ↑,
90', Soria H. 🟨,
90+3', Cabrera J. M. 🟨,
90+5', Dematei N. 🟨,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Super final: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gimnasia Jujuy won 1.

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

Deportivo Morón may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Gimnasia Jujuy is the team to beat.

We predict that Gimnasia Jujuy will win today's game, with odds of 1.74.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Gimnasia Jujuy won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 0.8:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Gimnasia Jujuy won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gimnasia Jujuy
Argentinian Primera Nacional
28.06.25	Talleres de Remedios de Escalada - Gimnasia Jujuy	0:1 ✺
22.06.25	Gimnasia Jujuy - Estudiantes de Río Cuarto	2:2 ✺
14.06.25	Defensores de Belgrano - Gimnasia Jujuy	0:1 ✺
01.06.25	Chacarita Juniors - Gimnasia Jujuy	0:1 ✺
25.05.25	Gimnasia Jujuy - San Telmo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 WTWWT
- Deportivo Morón
Argentinian Primera Nacional
22.06.25	Central Norte - Deportivo Morón	0:0 ✺
14.06.25	Deportivo Morón - Almirante Brown	2:0 ✺
07.06.25	Deportivo Morón - Colón	1:0 ✺
31.05.25	Deportivo Morón - Chaco For Ever	2:1 ✺
25.05.25	Mitre - Deportivo Morón	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 TWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
02.03.25	Deportivo Morón - Gimnasia Jujuy	0:0
25.06.22	Deportivo Morón - Gimnasia Jujuy	1:1
14.08.21	Deportivo Morón - Gimnasia Jujuy	2:0
04.04.21	Gimnasia Jujuy - Deportivo Morón	2:0
04.11.18	Gimnasia Jujuy - Deportivo Morón	1:1
30.04.18	Deportivo Morón - Gimnasia Jujuy	1:1

Upcoming Matches