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Current Win Probability
Deportivo Morón 31.2%
Draw 33.7%
Ferro Carril Oeste 35.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41.5%
33.2%
25.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45.8%
36.7%
22.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Morón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Deportivo Morón's form might have worsened.
Ferro Carril Oeste has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ferro Carril Oeste's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Morón than the current prediction. (+14.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportivo Morón, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferro Carril Oeste than the current prediction. (-12.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ferro Carril Oeste, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
25%
25%
50%
Deportivo Morón - Ferro Carril Oeste Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Deportivo Morón will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Ferro Carril will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Diaz F. (G) 4. Iniguez E. 2. Salvareschi B. 6. Vazquez F. 3. Livera J. 7. Contreras E. 5. Burruchaga M. 8. Kubiszyn S. 10. Fagundez F. 9. Levato M. 11. Esquivel J.
1. Monetti F. (G) 4. Torrent F. 2. Pena Biafore L. 6. Canto G. 3. Ozuna E. 7. Gonzalez A. 5. Olguin G. 8. Kabalin M. 10. Hoyos E. 9. Parisi L. 11. Dening E.
Substitutes
18. Berterame G. 15. Bittolo M. 13. Cardozo L. 16. Franco E. 17. Gonzalez G. 19. Olivares J. 12. Salva J. (G) 20. Toloza F. 14. Vaquero I. M.
20. Benegas M. 16. Castellani G. 15. Corda S. 19. Gomez N. 17. Marra L. 12. Ruiz L. (G) 13. Taron M. 18. Uriel P. 14. Zubowicz M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
20', 1 - 0, Pena Biafore L. (Own goal),
29', Levato M. 🟨,
32', 2 - 0, Levato M. ⚽, Fagundez F. (A),
42', Monetti F. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Olguin G. ↓, Benegas M. ↑,
46', Parisi L. ↓, Castellani G. ↑,
48', 3 - 0, Esquivel J. ⚽, Fagundez F. (A),
50', Canto G. 🟥,
51', Hoyos E. 🟨,
53', Dening E. ↓, Taron M. ↑,
61', Castellani G. 🟥,
64', Hoyos E. ↓, Marra L. ↑,
64', Gonzalez A. ↓, Gomez N. ↑,
66', Contreras E. ↓, Toloza F. ↑,
66', Esquivel J. ↓, Bittolo M. ↑,
66', Levato M. ↓, Olivares J. ↑,
67', 4 - 0, Toloza F. ⚽, Olivares J. (A),
69', Salvareschi B. 🟨,
71', Salvareschi B. ↓, Cardozo L. ↑,
71', Fagundez F. ↓, Berterame G. ↑,
87', Marra L. 🟨,
Preview
The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Super final: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Morón won 2.
In recent matches, Deportivo Morón has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Ferro Carril is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Ferro Carril may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Ferro Carril has had a series of home games.
Deportivo Morón could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Morón won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 6:13. (average 0.8:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Deportivo Morón won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).
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Diaz F. (G) 
Fagundez F. 
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