The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ferro Carril Oeste 42.7%
Draw 33.7%
Deportivo Morón 23.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.2%
33.7%
24.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.9%
31.7%
22.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ferro Carril Oeste has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
Deportivo Morón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferro Carril Oeste than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Morón than the current prediction. (-1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
33.3%
33.3%
33.3%
Ferro Carril Oeste - Deportivo Morón Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Ferro Carril will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Deportivo Morón will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Monetti F. (C) 4. Nazareno K. 2. Pena Biafore L. 6. Taron M. 3. Ozuna E. 7. Gonzalez A. 8. Kabalin M. 5. Obradovich F. 10. Hoyos E. 11. Dening E. 9. Parisi L.
1. Salva J. (G) 4. Contreras E. 2. Salvareschi B. 6. Vazquez F. 3. Livera J. 8. Gonzalez G. 5. Burruchaga M. 10. Olivares J. 11. Bittolo M. (C) 7. Fagundez F. 9. Toloza F.
Substitutes
16. Castellani G. 14. Corda S. 17. Garcia F. 18. Gomez N. 20. Marra L. 19. Menendez J. 15. Olguin G. 12. Ruiz L. (G) 13. Zubowicz M.
19. Benitez M. 18. Berterame G. 13. Cardozo L. 12. Diaz F. (G) 15. Gonzalez M. 16. Kubiszyn S. 17. Ramirez T. 14. Vaquero I. M. 20. Zappacosta J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
37', Toloza F. 🟨,
44', Vazquez F. 🟨,
45+2', Contreras E. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', Burruchaga M. 🟨,
53', Ozuna E. 🟨,
61', Contreras E. ↓, Cardozo L. ↑,
61', Burruchaga M. ↓, Berterame G. ↑,
61', Gonzalez G. ↓, Gonzalez M. ↑,
71', Hoyos E. ↓, Castellani G. ↑,
71', Dening E. ↓, Garcia F. ↑,
71', Kabalin M. ↓, Marra L. ↑,
76', Gonzalez M. 🟨,
78', Bittolo M. ↓, Kubiszyn S. ↑,
80', Salvareschi B. 🟨,
83', 1 - 0, Parisi L. ⚽, Nazareno K. (A),
85', Olivares J. ↓, Benitez M. ↑,
85', Gonzalez A. ↓, Gomez N. ↑,
90+1', Taron M. 🟨,
90+2', Parisi L. ↓, Olguin G. ↑,
Preview
Federation decision.
The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Super final: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ferro Carril won 3.
Ferro Carril has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Deportivo Morón is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Deportivo Morón may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Ferro Carril is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Ferro Carril won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:6. (average 1.7:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Ferro Carril won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:3. (average 2.3:0.8).
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Monetti F. (C) 
Fagundez F. 
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