Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 20

Date: 11 July 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Nuevo Francisco Urbano (Moron)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Deportivo Morón		Deportivo Madryn

	1	X	2
	1.79	3.10	5.25	Watch
	1.78	3.10	4.75
	1.91	3.05	4.60	Watch
	1.87	3.10	5.27
	1.78	3.18	5.3	Watch
	1.85	3.00	5.15
	1.79	2.89	5.12
	1.77	3.05	4.90
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↓ (1.95)	3.06 ↑ (3)	5.04 ↑ (4.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Morón
51.2%

Draw
30.4%

Deportivo Madryn
18.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.8%

31.1%

21.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

30.5%

20.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Morón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Deportivo Madryn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Morón than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Madryn than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Deportivo Morón - Deportivo Madryn Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Deportivo Morón will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Deportivo Madryn will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Diaz F. (G) 2. Salvareschi B. 3. Livera J. 4. Iniguez E. 6. Vazquez F. 5. Burruchaga M. 7. Berterame G. 8. Kubiszyn S. 9. Fagundez F. 10. Olivares J. 11. Esquivel J.	1. Bonnin Y. (G) 2. Giacopuzzi F. 3. Diarte L. 4. Sosa A. 6. Corvalan C. 7. Cosi J. 5. Recalde F. 8. Meli M. 11. Marinucci L. 9. Silba L. 10. Solis N.
Substitutes
18. Benitez M. 13. Cardozo L. 12. Casalnuovo M. (G) 15. Contreras E. 17. Franco E. 16. Gonzalez M. 20. Levato M. 19. Toloza F. 14. Vaquero I. M.	15. Calleros Y. 14. Dionisio A. 17. Gudino G. 13. Gutierrez A. 18. Machado C. 16. Martinez D. 12. Montero M. (G) 19. Peinipil J. 20. Servetto N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Berterame G. ↓, Toloza F. ↑,
48', Cosi J. 🟨,
53', 1 - 0, Burruchaga M. ⚽, Olivares J. (A),
60', Sosa A. ↓, Dionisio A. ↑,
60', Cosi J. ↓, Servetto N. ↑,
60', Meli M. ↓, Machado C. ↑,
60', Marinucci L. ↓, Gudino G. ↑,
64', 2 - 0, Fagundez F. ⚽, Toloza F. (A),
68', Olivares J. ↓, Contreras E. ↑,
68', Esquivel J. ↓, Franco E. ↑,
70', 2 - 1, Machado C. ⚽,
84', Kubiszyn S. ↓, Gonzalez M. ↑,
85', 2 - 2, Servetto N. ⚽, Gudino G. (A),
86', Burruchaga M. ↓, Levato M. ↑,
90+2', Giacopuzzi F. 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Morón won 1.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Recently, Deportivo Morón has had a series of away games.

Recently, Deportivo Madryn has had a series of home games.

In this match, Deportivo Morón is considered a favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Morón won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 0.5:0.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Deportivo Morón won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.5:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Morón
Argentinian Primera Nacional
04.07.26	Defensores de Belgrano - Deportivo Morón	2:1 ✺
21.06.26	Ferro Carril Oeste - Deportivo Morón	1:0 ✺
13.06.26	Ciudad de Bolívar - Deportivo Morón	1:2 ✺
07.06.26	Deportivo Morón - Almirante Brown	1:0 ✺
31.05.26	Mitre - Deportivo Morón	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LLWWW
- Deportivo Madryn
Argentinian Primera Nacional
05.07.26	Deportivo Madryn - Colón	1:2 ✺
21.06.26	Deportivo Madryn - Los Andes	2:1 ✺
14.06.26	Deportivo Madryn - San Miguel	2:2 ✺
07.06.26	San Telmo - Deportivo Madryn	0:0 ✺
31.05.26	Deportivo Madryn - Acassuso	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWTTT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
21.02.26	Deportivo Madryn - Deportivo Morón	1:1
16.11.25	Deportivo Madryn - Deportivo Morón	1:0
08.11.25	Deportivo Morón - Deportivo Madryn	1:0
03.08.24	Deportivo Madryn - Deportivo Morón	0:0
17.03.24	Deportivo Morón - Deportivo Madryn	0:0
10.08.22	Deportivo Madryn - Deportivo Morón	0:1

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