The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
San Miguel 33.9%
Draw 35.2%
Ferro Carril Oeste 31%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39.5%
32%
28.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.7%
33.8%
27%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Miguel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that San Miguel's form might have worsened.
Ferro Carril Oeste has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Miguel than the current prediction. (+7.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for San Miguel, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferro Carril Oeste than the current prediction. (-4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
11.1%
77.8%
11.1%
San Miguel - Ferro Carril Oeste Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. San Miguel will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Ferro Carril will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 50.6% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Sappa D. (G) 4. Adin D. 2. Renteria D. 6. Ceceri K. 3. Cardozo F. 8. Serra M. 5. Ramirez I. 10. Ferrero J. 11. De la Cruz E. 7. Juarez D. 9. Delgado L.
1. Monetti F. (G) 4. Nazareno K. 2. Pena Biafore L. 6. Canto G. 3. Ozuna E. 7. Gonzalez A. 5. Obradovich F. 8. Marra L. 10. Hoyos E. 9. Parisi L. 11. Dening E.
Substitutes
13. Aguirre F. 16. Almeida F. 14. Cruz A. 17. Diaz T. 19. Fernandez G. 20. Jerez T. 12. Ledesma Reynoso M. (G) 18. Oses M. 15. Perez L.
20. Benegas M. 16. Castellani G. 14. Corda S. 18. Garcia F. 17. Gomez N. 19. Menendez J. 15. Olguin G. 12. Ruiz L. (G) 13. Taron M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
24', 0 - 1, Dening E. ⚽, Gonzalez A. (A),
37', Parisi L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', De la Cruz E. ↓, Fernandez G. ↑,
63', Ceceri K. 🟨,
67', Hoyos E. ↓, Castellani G. ↑,
68', Dening E. 🟨,
68', Dening E. ↓, Benegas M. ↑,
69', Juarez D. ↓, Oses M. ↑,
70', Pena Biafore L. 🟨,
75', Parisi L. ↓, Gomez N. ↑,
76', Benegas M. 🟨,
79', Marra L. ↓, Olguin G. ↑,
83', Ferrero J. ↓, Jerez T. ↑,
83', Ramirez I. ↓, Almeida F. ↑,
85', Nazareno K. 🟨,
87', Delgado L. (Penalty Awarded),
88', Monetti F. 🟨,
88', Canto G. 🟨,
Preview
Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 10 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Super final: )).
San Miguel has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Ferro Carril is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Recently, San Miguel has had a series of away games.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Miguel won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 0.8:0.4).
Including home matches between the teams, San Miguel won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).
Last Results with these Odds
Ferro Carril Oeste - the odds 3.25 are the expected chance of winning is 28.54%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.
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Sappa D. (G) 
Renteria D. 
Garcia F. 
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