Match Info

Date: 12 March 2022, Saturday


	Deportivo Nueva Concepción		Comunicaciones

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.25	1.95
	3.6	3.2	1.92
	4.08	3.36	1.92
	3.64	3.5	1.9	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.68 ↑ (3.46)	3.33 ↑ (3.2)	1.92 ↓ (1.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Nueva Concepción
24.9%

Draw
27.5%

Comunicaciones
47.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.9%

28%

46%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.2%

21.9%

58.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Nueva Concepción has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Comunicaciones has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Nueva Concepción than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Comunicaciones than the current prediction. (+11.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Comunicaciones could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 11 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Recent matches Nueva Concepción is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Comunicaciones is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Comunicaciones will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Nueva Concepción won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 1-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Nueva Concepción won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Nueva Concepción
Guatemala Liga Nacional
06.03.22	Deportivo Nueva Concepción - Sololá	1:0 ✺
02.03.22	Deportivo Guastatoya - Deportivo Nueva Concepción	4:1 ✺
27.02.22	Deportivo Nueva Concepción - Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa	1:3 ✺
20.02.22	Deportivo Achuapa - Deportivo Nueva Concepción	1:1 ✺
13.02.22	Deportivo Nueva Concepción - Municipal	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 WLLTW
- CSD Comunicaciones
CONCACAF Champions Cup
08.03.22	New York City - Comunicaciones	3:1 ✺
Guatemala Liga Nacional
02.03.22	Comunicaciones - Malacateco	2:0 ✺
27.02.22	Comunicaciones - Antigua GFC	3:2 ✺
CONCACAF Champions Cup
23.02.22	Colorado Rapids - Comunicaciones	1:1 penalties ✺
Guatemala Liga Nacional
19.02.22	Sololá - Comunicaciones	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.7 LWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Guatemala Liga Nacional
16.01.22	Comunicaciones - Deportivo Nueva Concepción	7:0
10.10.21	Deportivo Nueva Concepción - Comunicaciones	1:2
08.08.21	Comunicaciones - Deportivo Nueva Concepción	2:0

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