Match Info

Date: 13 February 2022, Sunday


	Deportivo Nueva Concepción		Municipal

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.25	1.83
	3.5	3.25	1.85
	3.7	3.15	1.89
	3.75	3.4	1.98
	3.4	3.2	2
	3.84	3.32	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.67 ↑ (3.38)	3.26 ↑ (3.01)	1.91 ↓ (2.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Nueva Concepción
24.7%

Draw
27.8%

Municipal
47.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.8%

30.1%

43%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.3%

22.8%

56.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Nueva Concepción has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Municipal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Nueva Concepción than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Municipal than the current prediction. (+9.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Municipal could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Deportivo Nueva Concepción - Municipal Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 12 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Nueva Concepción has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Municipal is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Nueva Concepción could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Municipal is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Nueva Concepción won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Nueva Concepción won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Nueva Concepción
Guatemala Liga Nacional
09.02.22	Deportivo Iztapa - Deportivo Nueva Concepción	2:1 ✺
05.02.22	Deportivo Nueva Concepción - Cobán Imperial	1:2 ✺
02.02.22	Antigua GFC - Deportivo Nueva Concepción	4:0 ✺
29.01.22	Xelajú - Deportivo Nueva Concepción	2:1 ✺
23.01.22	Deportivo Nueva Concepción - Malacateco	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLLLT
- CSD Municipal
Guatemala Liga Nacional
09.02.22	Municipal - Xelajú	2:2 ✺
06.02.22	Malacateco - Municipal	2:1 ✺
02.02.22	Municipal - Comunicaciones	2:0 ✺
30.01.22	Sololá - Municipal	0:3 ✺
22.01.22	Municipal - Deportivo Guastatoya	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 TLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Guatemala Liga Nacional
06.11.21	Municipal - Deportivo Nueva Concepción	2:0
29.08.21	Deportivo Nueva Concepción - Municipal	0:2

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