Match Info

ARGENTINA: Primera C - Apertura - Round 20

Date: 3 June 2024, Monday


	Deportivo Paraguayo		Real Pilar

	1	X	2
	2.9	2.87	2.3
	2.9	2.95	2.4
	3.23	2.86	2.35
	3.23	2.7	2.35
	3.1	2.9	2.25
	3.11	2.95	2.29
	3.05	2.85	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.07 ↑ (2.75)	2.87 ↓ (2.88)	2.32 ↓ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Paraguayo
29.4%

Draw
31.6%

Real Pilar
39%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.7%

31.3%

36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.4%

32%

35.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Paraguayo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Real Pilar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Paraguayo than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Pilar than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Deportivo Paraguayo - Real Pilar Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
3', 0 - 1, Chambi L. ⚽,
40', 0 - 2, Rodriguez E. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
53', 0 - 3, Rodriguez E. ⚽,
66', 0 - 4, Martin B. ⚽,
82', 0 - 5, Heredia C. ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 23 and 15).

Deportivo Paraguayo has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Real Pilar is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Real Pilar could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Deportivo Paraguayo won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Deportivo Paraguayo won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Paraguayo
Argentinian Primera C
26.05.24	Argentino de Rosario - Deportivo Paraguayo	2:1 ✺
21.05.24	Deportivo Paraguayo - Defensores de Cambaceres	0:1 ✺
13.05.24	Atlas General Rodríguez - Deportivo Paraguayo	2:0 ✺
03.05.24	Deportivo Paraguayo - Deportivo Español	1:1 ✺
29.04.24	Centro Español - Deportivo Paraguayo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLTL
- Real Pilar FC
Argentinian Primera C
19.05.24	Real Pilar - Argentino de Rosario	0:1 ✺
12.05.24	Defensores de Cambaceres - Real Pilar	2:2 ✺
04.05.24	Real Pilar - Atlas General Rodríguez	1:2 ✺
30.04.24	Deportivo Español - Real Pilar	1:2 ✺
21.04.24	Real Pilar - Centro Español	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera D
22.02.19	Deportivo Paraguayo - Real Pilar	1:1
22.09.18	Real Pilar - Deportivo Paraguayo	2:0
07.04.18	Deportivo Paraguayo - Real Pilar	0:1
12.11.17	Real Pilar - Deportivo Paraguayo	0:0

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