Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: COPA LIBERTADORES - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 1

Date: 5 April 2023, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Hernán Ramírez Villegas (Pereira)

Referee: Claus R. (Bra)


	Deportivo Pereira		Colo-Colo

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.25	2.3	Watch
	3.1	3.2	2.3
	3.2	3.2	2.33
	3.33	3.18	2.39
	3.2	2.9	2.25
	3.24	3.24	2.27	Watch
	3.1	3.15	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.2 ↑ (2.51)	3.16 ↑ (3.12)	2.31 ↓ (2.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Pereira
29.4%

Draw
29.8%

Colo-Colo
40.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.2%

30%

32.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.4%

29.8%

32.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Pereira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Deportivo Pereira's form might have worsened.

Colo-Colo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Colo-Colo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Pereira than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportivo Pereira, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colo-Colo than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Colo-Colo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	37.5%	50%

Deportivo Pereira - Colo Colo Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Pereira will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Colo-Colo will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Colo-Colo: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Pereira is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Colo-Colo is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Colo-Colo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Colo-Colo will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Pereira
Colombian Primera A
31.03.23	Deportivo Pasto - Deportivo Pereira	0:0 ✺
25.03.23	Once Caldas - Deportivo Pereira	1:1 ✺
17.03.23	Deportivo Pereira - Atlético Nacional	0:2 ✺
12.03.23	Rionegro Águilas - Deportivo Pereira	2:1 ✺
05.03.23	Deportivo Pereira - Deportes Tolima	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 TTLLT
- Colo-Colo
Chilean Primera Division
01.04.23	Huachipato - Colo-Colo	0:1 ✺
18.03.23	Cobresal - Colo-Colo	3:1 ✺
12.03.23	Colo-Colo - Universidad de Chile	0:0 ✺
05.03.23	Colo-Colo - Deportes Magallanes	2:0 ✺
26.02.23	Colo-Colo - Coquimbo Unido	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WLTWL

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