Match Info

Primera A - Clausura - Round 10

Date: 5 September 2025, Friday

Location: Estadio Palogrande (Manizales)

Referee: Roldan W. (Col)

Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play
Usa	Fanatiz, Fubo Latino 2


	Once Caldas		Deportivo Pereira

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.1	3.7	Watch
	2.25	3	3.1
	2.18	3.05	3.55	Watch
	2.2	3.05	3.74
	2.19	3.07	3.49	Watch
	2.4	2.9	3.1
	2.18	3.1	3.58	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↓ (2.41)	3.04 ↓ (3.11)	3.47 ↑ (2.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Once Caldas
42.2%

Draw
30.8%

Deportivo Pereira
27%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.7%

30%

31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1%

30.3%

31%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Once Caldas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Deportivo Pereira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Once Caldas than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Pereira than the current prediction. (+4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

Once Caldas - Deportivo Pereira Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Once Caldas will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Aguirre J. (C) 22. Cuesta Santos J. D. 23. Cuesta Rodriguez K. A. 18. Riquett J. 30. Tamayo K. 20. Garcia Castillo A. 88. Mejia R. 7. Barrios M. 10. Sanchez L. 28. Zuleta M. 14. Zapata Ramirez J. A.	1. Ichazo S. (G) 21. Pacheco W. 15. Aguilar S. 80. Albornoz O. 3. Moya J. 14. Rios J. 33. Kelvin Osorio 17. Torres G. 7. Quintero D. 18. Perez M. 13. Quinones Y.
Substitutes
8. Beltran E. 15. Castano J. 9. Gomez P. 24. Palacios L. 35. Parra J. (G) 70. Quinones D. 39. Rincon Jacome H. 5. Rojas I. 32. Rojas T.	8. Acosta S. 27. Ararat J. 10. Cabrera Y. 4. Juan Quintero 11. Largacha J. 6. Mejia V. 9. Merheg S. J. 44. Mosquera J. 77. Mosquera L.
Coaches
Herrera H.	Dudamel R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
4', Riquett J. 🟨,
11', Cuesta Rodriguez K. A. ↓, Castano J. ↑,
41', Torres G. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
49', 1 - 0, Zapata Ramirez J. A. ⚽,
51', Zapata Ramirez J. A. 🟨,
56', Torres G. ↓, Largacha J. ↑,
56', Perez M. ↓, Merheg S. J. ↑,
57', Pacheco W. 🟨,
61', Zapata Ramirez J. A. 🟨,
63', Largacha J. 🟨,
65', Kelvin Osorio ↓, Cabrera Y. ↑,
65', Pacheco W. ↓, Ararat J. ↑,
69', Zuleta M. ↓, Palacios L. ↑,
69', Sanchez L. ↓, Gomez P. ↑,
79', Barrios M. ↓, Quinones D. ↑,
84', Albornoz O. ↓, Mosquera L. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 19 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Once Caldas won 2.

Once Caldas has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Pereira is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Once Caldas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Once Caldas has had a series of away games.

Once Caldas will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Once Caldas won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 21:24. (average 1.1:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Once Caldas won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 1.1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Once Caldas
Colombian Primera A
01.09.25	Independiente Santa Fe - Once Caldas	1:2 ✺
Colombian Copa
28.08.25	Deportivo Pasto - Once Caldas	1:2 ✺
Colombian Primera A
24.08.25	Once Caldas - Deportes Tolima	0:1 ✺
Colombian Copa
22.08.25	Patriotas - Once Caldas	1:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
19.08.25	Huracán Buenos Aires - Once Caldas	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.7 WWLLW
- Deportivo Pereira
Colombian Copa
02.09.25	Real Cundinamarca - Deportivo Pereira	2:2 penalties ✺
Colombian Primera A
30.08.25	Deportivo Pereira - Atlético Bucaramanga	0:1 ✺
Colombian Copa
26.08.25	Deportivo Pereira - Real Cundinamarca	4:3 ✺
Colombian Primera A
23.08.25	Envigado - Deportivo Pereira	1:1 ✺
14.08.25	Deportivo Pereira - América de Cali	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera A
03.08.25	Deportivo Pereira - Once Caldas	2:1
22.03.25	Deportivo Pereira - Once Caldas	1:1
19.02.25	Once Caldas - Deportivo Pereira	3:1
03.09.24	Deportivo Pereira - Once Caldas	0:1
22.02.24	Once Caldas - Deportivo Pereira	1:2
10.09.23	Deportivo Pereira - Once Caldas	1:2
12.08.23	Once Caldas - Deportivo Pereira	1:0

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