Match Info

Liga de Primera - Round 9

Date: 3 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Monumental David Arellano (Santiago de Chile)

Referee: Jona H. (Chi)


	Colo-Colo		Coquimbo Unido

	1	X	2
	1.86	3.25	4.1	Watch
	1.95	3.4	3.7
	1.98	3.35	3.7	Watch
	2	3.47	4.08
	1.92	3.5	3.91	Watch
	1.95	3.1	3.6
	1.95	3.32	3.85	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↓ (2.01)	3.34 ↑ (3.29)	3.85 ↑ (3.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Colo-Colo
47.9%

Draw
27.9%

Coquimbo Unido
24.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.5%

28.4%

25.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.2%

26.8%

23.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Colo-Colo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Coquimbo Unido has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colo-Colo than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Coquimbo Unido than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Colo Colo - Coquimbo Unido Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Colo-Colo will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Coquimbo will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Coquimbo (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Coquimbo (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Maureira G. (G) 2. Villagra J. 23. Vidal A. (C) 4. Sosa J. 6. Alarcon T. 13. Fernandez M. 8. Madrid A. 5. Mendez V. 26. Ulloa D. 19. Romero M. 9. Correa J.	13. Sanchez D. (C) 5. Escobar D. 4. Hernandez E. 3. Fernandez M. 16. Cornejo J. 14. Cordero S. 6. Glaby D. 27. Riveros L. 10. Vadala G. 30. Chandia B. 12. Pratto L.
Substitutes
22. Aquino C. 30. Cuevas Y. 24. Hernandez L. 7. Marchant F. 20. Mendez J. 10. Pastran L. 28. Rojas J. 12. Villanueva E. (G) 21. Wiemberg E.	11. Azocar Machuca A. E. 28. Cabrera S. 8. Camargo A. 1. Flores G. (G) 7. Galani S. 9. Johansen N. 18. Rodriguez P. 17. Salinas F. 15. Zavala C.
Coaches
Ortiz F.	Caputto H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
6', Hernandez E. 🟨,
45+3', Escobar D. 🟨,
45+5', 1 - 0, Romero M. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
56', 1 - 1, Vadala G. ⚽, Riveros L. (A),
63', Vidal A. ↓, Aquino C. ↑,
65', Pratto L. ↓, Johansen N. ↑,
65', Chandia B. ↓, Zavala C. ↑,
67', Alarcon T. 🟨,
70', Zavala C. 🟨,
72', Riveros L. ↓, Azocar Machuca A. E. ↑,
72', Vadala G. ↓, Rodriguez P. ↑,
79', Romero M. ↓, Cuevas Y. ↑,
79', Madrid A. ↓, Marchant F. ↑,
81', Glaby D. ↓, Galani S. ↑,
84', 2 - 1, Correa J. ⚽, Aquino C. (A),
86', 3 - 1, Correa J. ⚽, Marchant F. (A),
90+1', Correa J. ↓, Mendez J. ↑,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: ) and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Colo-Colo won 2.

Colo-Colo is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Coquimbo has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Coquimbo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Colo-Colo is considered a favorite.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Colo-Colo won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 23:13. (average 1.5:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Colo-Colo won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:5. (average 2:0.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Colo Colo	23	17	3	3	48:22	26	54
11	Coquimbo	23	8	5	10	31:32	-1	29

Last Results with these Odds

Colo-Colo - the odds 2.01 are the expected chance of winning is 46.48%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Colo-Colo
Chilean Primera Division
26.04.26	Universidad de Concepción - Colo-Colo	1:2 ✺
19.04.26	Colo-Colo - Palestino	0:1 ✺
05.04.26	Deportes Concepción - Colo-Colo	0:1 ✺
Chilean Copa de la Liga
01.04.26	Colo-Colo - Huachipato	1:0 ✺
24.03.26	Deportes Concepción - Colo-Colo	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WLWWW
- Coquimbo Unido
Copa Libertadores
28.04.26	Deportes Tolima - Coquimbo Unido	3:0 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
24.04.26	Unión La Calera - Coquimbo Unido	1:2 ✺
19.04.26	Coquimbo Unido - Ñublense	1:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
14.04.26	Universitario de Deportes - Coquimbo Unido	0:2 ✺
08.04.26	Coquimbo Unido - Nacional Montevideo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Copa de la Liga
21.03.26	Colo-Colo - Coquimbo Unido	1:1
Chilean Primera Division
19.10.25	Coquimbo Unido - Colo-Colo	1:0
26.04.25	Colo-Colo - Coquimbo Unido	2:0
16.08.24	Colo-Colo - Coquimbo Unido	2:0
17.03.24	Coquimbo Unido - Colo-Colo	0:0
12.08.23	Coquimbo Unido - Colo-Colo	2:2
26.02.23	Colo-Colo - Coquimbo Unido	2:3

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