Match Info

COLOMBIA: COPA COLOMBIA - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 16 August 2023, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Hernán Ramírez Villegas (Pereira)


	Deportivo Pereira		Tigres

	1	X	2
	1.5	3.75	6
	1.47	3.7	6
	1.5	3.75	7
	1.49	3.91	7.81
	1.52	3.6	5.8
	1.5	3.98	7.2	Watch
	1.51	3.75	6.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.62)	3.78 ↑ (3.6)	6.57 ↑ (5.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Pereira
61.5%

Draw
24.4%

Tigres
14%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.3%

25.4%

18.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45%

20.3%

22.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Pereira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportivo Pereira's performance.

Tigres has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Pereira than the current prediction. (-16.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportivo Pereira that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tigres than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tigres could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Deportivo Pereira - Tigres Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Quintana A. (G) 17. Ararat J. 7. Balboa A. 27. Fory J. 2. Garces Torres C. E. 11. Johan Bocanegra 14. Juan Quintero 77. Piedrahita A. 26. Suarez Y. 25. Vasquez J. 13. Zuluaga J.	1. Montes A. (G) 14. Algarra Parraga D. F. 29. Alvarez M. 27. Bonilla Gutierrez A. J. 31. Cantillo S. 3. Cardenas K. 10. Lara R. 6. Lopera J. 30. Reina J. 8. Salguero Zapata C. S. 15. Velasquez T.
Substitutes
21. Congo Y. 20. Moreno E. 16. Moreno Gomez E. A. 12. Mosquera F. (G) 29. Ramirez C. 9. Rodriguez A. 30. Rodriguez A.	12. Anaya M. (G) 11. Lopez L. 16. Obando J. 24. Palacios L. 2. Pisciotti N. 5. Romero S.

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-0.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Pereira won 3.

Recent matches Pereira is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Tigres is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Pereira could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Pereira is certain favorite.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Pereira won 7 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 24-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Pereira won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 14-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Pereira
Colombian Primera A
12.08.23	Once Caldas - Deportivo Pereira	1:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
09.08.23	Independiente del Valle - Deportivo Pereira	1:1 ✺
Colombian Primera A
05.08.23	Deportivo Pereira - Boyacá Chicó	1:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
02.08.23	Deportivo Pereira - Independiente del Valle	1:0 ✺
Colombian Primera A
30.07.23	Atlético Huila - Deportivo Pereira	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 LTTWL
- Tigres FC
Colombian Primera B
12.08.23	Internacional de Palmira - Tigres	3:0 ✺
08.08.23	Tigres - Cúcuta Deportivo	2:2 ✺
30.07.23	Barranquilla - Tigres	0:0 ✺
Colombian Copa
26.07.23	Tigres - Deportivo Pereira	0:1 ✺
Colombian Primera B
20.07.23	Tigres - Fortaleza CEIF	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Copa
26.07.23	Tigres - Deportivo Pereira	0:1
29.10.20	Tigres - Deportivo Pereira	1:1
21.10.20	Deportivo Pereira - Tigres	1:0
Colombian Primera B
16.11.19	Tigres - Deportivo Pereira	0:5
18.10.19	Deportivo Pereira - Tigres	1:1
03.09.19	Tigres - Deportivo Pereira	1:0
18.03.19	Deportivo Pereira - Tigres	6:0

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