Match Info

ARGENTINA: PRIMERA NACIONAL - ROUND 6

Date: 20 March 2023, Monday

Location: Estadio Guillermo Laza (Buenos Aires)

Referee: Lobo Medina L. (Arg)


	Deportivo Riestra		Villa Dálmine

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.3	4.5
	1.9	3	4.2
	1.95	3.2	4.1
	2.02	3.05	3.65
	1.93	3.08	4.85
	1.88	3	4.2
	1.88	3.25	4.6	Watch
	1.95	2.95	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↓ (2.03)	3.1 ↑ (3.06)	4.31 ↑ (3.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Riestra
48.4%

Draw
30%

Villa Dálmine
21.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.1%

29.9%

25%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.6%

30.3%

24.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Riestra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Villa Dálmine has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Riestra than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villa Dálmine than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.6%	27.3%	9.1%

Deportivo Riestra - Villa Dálmine Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Deportivo Riestra will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Villa Dálmine will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Deportivo Riestra: 35.2% – 92%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Two teams are playing changeable.

Deportivo Riestra will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Deportivo Riestra won 0 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Deportivo Riestra won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Riestra
Argentinian Primera Nacional
11.03.23	Deportivo Madryn - Deportivo Riestra	0:3 ✺
03.03.23	Deportivo Riestra - Atlético de Rafaela	0:2 ✺
24.02.23	Estudiantes de Caseros - Deportivo Riestra	1:0 ✺
18.02.23	Deportivo Riestra - Brown de Adrogué	2:1 ✺
12.02.23	Quilmes - Deportivo Riestra	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WLLWL
- Villa Dálmine
Argentinian Primera Nacional
12.03.23	Villa Dálmine - Racing de Córdoba	2:1 ✺
05.03.23	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Villa Dálmine	2:1 ✺
24.02.23	Villa Dálmine - Tristán Suárez	3:1 ✺
18.02.23	Chacarita Juniors - Villa Dálmine	3:0 ✺
11.02.23	Villa Dálmine - Mitre	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
25.04.22	Deportivo Riestra - Villa Dálmine	1:1
05.12.20	Villa Dálmine - Deportivo Riestra	1:1
16.03.20	Deportivo Riestra - Villa Dálmine	1:1
21.09.19	Villa Dálmine - Deportivo Riestra	3:0
06.11.17	Deportivo Riestra - Villa Dálmine	1:1

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