Match Info

ARGENTINA: PRIMERA NACIONAL - PROMOTION - PLAY OFFS - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 13 November 2023, Monday


	Quilmes		Deportivo Riestra

	1	X	2
	2.45	3	3.2	Watch
	2.37	2.9	3
	2.35	3	3.1	Watch
	2.54	2.95	3.21
	2.55	2.95	3.21
	2.38	3	3
	2.47	2.9	3.2
	2.43	2.95	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.44 ↑ (2.36)	2.96 ↓ (3.16)	3.12 ↓ (3.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Quilmes
38.3%

Draw
31.7%

Deportivo Riestra
30%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.1%

29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.9%

31.3%

28.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Quilmes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Deportivo Riestra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Quilmes than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Riestra than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

Quilmes - Deportivo Riestra Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Quilmes will win (votes: 8 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Quilmes: 25.5% – 74.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Alvarez M. (G) 4. Lopez M. 2. Diaz G. (C) 6. Giampaoli R. 3. Erquiaga I. 7. Gimenez M. 5. Rio M. 8. Ramirez I. 10. Colman I. 11. Batista A. 9. Castro F.	1. Arce I. (G) 2. Magallanes D. 3. Tovo E. 4. Iribarren N. 5. Ramirez P. 6. Dematei N. 7. Goitia J. 8. Celiz M. 10. Acuna W. 9. Romero L. 11. Fernandez G.
Substitutes
. Anselmo F. 14. Bindella A. 16. Calello A. 12. Glellel E. (G) 18. Lattanzio C. 15. Postigo J. . Sanabria M. 20. Sandoval T. . Tevez F.	12. Aguero F. (G) 16. Antonini F. 13. Benitez G. 20. Gonzalez Herrero R. 18. Landriel L. 14. Mac Eachen E. 19. Portillo S. 17. Villoldo T. 15. Zaninovic M.
Coaches
Fuscaldo A.	Modolo M.

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-1.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Quilmes won 2.

At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.

Quilmes could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Quilmes won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 11-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Quilmes won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Quilmes AC
Argentinian Primera Nacional
07.11.23	Deportivo Riestra - Quilmes	1:1 ✺
04.11.23	Quilmes - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	1:0 ✺
15.10.23	Quilmes - Racing de Córdoba	1:2 ✺
07.10.23	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Quilmes	0:1 ✺
29.09.23	Quilmes - Tristán Suárez	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 TWLWW
- Deportivo Riestra
Argentinian Primera Nacional
07.11.23	Deportivo Riestra - Quilmes	1:1 ✺
27.10.23	San Martín de Tucumán - Deportivo Riestra	0:1 ✺
15.10.23	Gimnasia Jujuy - Deportivo Riestra	0:1 ✺
08.10.23	Deportivo Riestra - Ferro Carril Oeste	1:1 ✺
02.10.23	Deportivo Riestra - Aldosivi	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.7 TWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
07.11.23	Deportivo Riestra - Quilmes	1:1
19.06.23	Deportivo Riestra - Quilmes	1:1
12.02.23	Quilmes - Deportivo Riestra	3:1
15.07.22	Deportivo Riestra - Quilmes	1:1
25.07.21	Quilmes - Deportivo Riestra	2:1
15.03.21	Deportivo Riestra - Quilmes	0:1
16.11.19	Quilmes - Deportivo Riestra	1:1

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