Match Info

Copa Paraguay - 1/16-finals

Date: 26 August 2026, Wednesday


	Deportivo Santaní		Deportivo Recoleta

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.2	2.22	Watch
	2.81	3.45	2.2
	2.75	3.55	2.27	Watch
	2.6	3.35	2.13
	2.8	3.36	2.24
	2.75	3.15	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.75 ↑ (2.59)	3.34 ↑ (3.28)	2.22 ↓ (2.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Santaní
32.6%

Draw
26.9%

Deportivo Recoleta
40.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.5%

28%

36.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.8%

27%

35.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Santaní has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Deportivo Recoleta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Santaní than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Recoleta than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Deportivo Recoleta, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	33.3%	33.3%

Deportivo Santaní - Deportivo Recoleta Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Deportivo Santaní will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Recoleta will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
25', 0 - 1, Galeano F. ⚽,
43', 0 - 2, Echeguren Zarza F. A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Deportivo Santaní is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Recoleta is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Deportivo Santaní may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Deportivo Santaní has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

We predict that Deportivo Santaní will win today's game, with odds of 2.48.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Santaní won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:9. (average 0.8:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Deportivo Santaní won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Deportivo Recoleta - the odds 2.52 are the expected chance of winning is 36.48%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Santaní
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
23.08.26	Benjamín Aceval - Deportivo Santaní	2:3 ✺
16.08.26	Deportivo Santaní - Sportivo Carapeguá	2:0 ✺
02.08.26	Deportivo Santaní - Encarnación	1:0 ✺
24.07.26	Deportivo Santaní - Paraguarí	2:0 ✺
20.07.26	Deportivo Santaní - Fernando de la Mora	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWWWL
- Deportivo Recoleta
Paraguayan Primera Division
22.08.26	Sportivo Ameliano - Deportivo Recoleta	3:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
18.08.26	Deportivo Recoleta - Boca Juniors	0:4 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
14.08.26	Deportivo Recoleta - 2 de Mayo	1:2 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
11.08.26	Boca Juniors - Deportivo Recoleta	3:1 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
07.08.26	Rubio Ñu - Deportivo Recoleta	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Division Intermedia
21.07.24	Deportivo Santaní - Deportivo Recoleta	0:0
15.04.24	Deportivo Recoleta - Deportivo Santaní	6:0
23.09.23	Deportivo Santaní - Deportivo Recoleta	2:1
17.06.23	Deportivo Recoleta - Deportivo Santaní	2:1

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