Match Info

Copa Sudamericana - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 18 August 2026, Tuesday

Referee: Matonte Cabrera A. M. (Uru)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 2, ESPN
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA English 1
Australia	beIN Connect
Bolivia	ESPN
Canada	fubo Sports Network
Colombia	ESPN 2
Croatia	Arena Sport 1
Ecuador	ESPN
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Israel	Sport 4
Italy	Como TV
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN 4
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Portugal	Sport TV2
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Spain	Movistar+ Vamos Bar 1
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, SportsEngine Play
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN


	Deportivo Recoleta		Boca Juniors

	1	X	2
	6.25	4.20	1.55	Watch
	5.75	4.00	1.55
	6.10	3.90	1.53	Watch
	5.80	4.23	1.57
	5.74	4.14	1.57	Watch
	5.75	4.20	1.52
	5.85	4.12	1.53	Watch
	6.20	4.40	1.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.93 ↓ (6.37)	4.15 ↑ (3.95)	1.55 ↓ (1.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Recoleta
16%

Draw
22.8%

Boca Juniors
61.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.9%

24.1%

61%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.6%

23.6%

62.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Recoleta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Boca Juniors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Recoleta than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boca Juniors than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Deportivo Recoleta - Boca Juniors Predictions

Users Predictions: Boca Juniors will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Ferreira N. (G) 15. Medina B. 5. Marotta N. 3. Cardozo L. (C) 32. Monzon L. 7. Dominguez R. 6. Espinola J. 10. Silva A. 18. Rios P. 11. Parzajuk K. 33. Gonzalez A.	1. Montero A. (G) 24. Gorosito D. 4. Figal J. 32. Costa A. 3. Blanco L. 8. Belmonte T. 18. Delgado M. 25. Ascacibar S. 10. Aranda T. 16. Miguel Merentiel (C) 22. Villa S.
Substitutes
20. Canete M. 30. Charpentier P. 27. Dominguez Castillo J. C. 8. Galeano F. 21. Garay C. 19. Lopez H. 23. Nunez J. 9. Ortiz R. 4. Pereira M. 31. Schupp M. 13. Toledo O. (G) 24. Vidal T.	11. Angel Romero 27. Braida M. 12. Brey L. (G) 7. Carlos Palacios 2. Di Lollo L. 19. Flores L. 9. Gimenez M. 42. Herrera F. 23. Rey Domenech C. 30. Valencia E. 20. Velasco A. 21. Zenon K.
Coaches
Gonzalez J.	Arruabarrena R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
30', 0 - 1, Ascacibar S. ⚽,
43', 0 - 2, Villa S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Aranda T. ↓, Velasco A. ↑,
46', Cardozo L. ↓, Lopez H. ↑,
46', Medina B. ↓, Charpentier P. ↑,
50', Dominguez R. 🟨,
52', 0 - 3, Miguel Merentiel ⚽, Delgado M. (A),
57', Delgado M. ↓, Rey Domenech C. ↑,
57', Miguel Merentiel ↓, Valencia E. ↑,
65', Ascacibar S. ↓, Zenon K. ↑,
71', Silva A. ↓, Pereira M. ↑,
77', 0 - 4, Velasco A. ⚽, Zenon K. (A),
78', Costa A. ↓, Herrera F. ↑,
81', Ferreira N. 🟨,
83', Dominguez R. ↓, Galeano F. ↑,
83', Parzajuk K. ↓, Schupp M. ↑,

Preview

First leg result: 1-3.

Recoleta has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Boca Juniors is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recoleta may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Boca Juniors is seen as the favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Recoleta won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.

Outrights of Copa Sudamericana for now

Boca Juniors: 34.22%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Recoleta
Paraguayan Primera Division
14.08.26	Deportivo Recoleta - 2 de Mayo	1:2 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
11.08.26	Boca Juniors - Deportivo Recoleta	3:1 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
07.08.26	Rubio Ñu - Deportivo Recoleta	1:3 ✺
03.08.26	Deportivo Recoleta - Nacional Asuncion	3:2 ✺
30.07.26	Libertad Asuncion - Deportivo Recoleta	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 LLWWL
- Boca Juniors
Argentinian Liga Profesional
15.08.26	Platense - Boca Juniors	1:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
11.08.26	Boca Juniors - Deportivo Recoleta	3:1 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
08.08.26	Boca Juniors - Vélez Sársfield	1:1 ✺
05.08.26	Boca Juniors - Estudiantes La Plata	1:0 ✺
02.08.26	Newells Old Boys - Boca Juniors	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 TWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
11.08.26	Boca Juniors - Deportivo Recoleta	3:1

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