Match Info

Copa Sudamericana - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 11 August 2026, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Alberto J. Armando (Buenos Aires)

Referee: Maza P. (Chi)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DSports 1
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA English 1
Australia	beIN Connect
Bolivia	ESPN
Canada	fubo Sports Network
Colombia	DSports
Croatia	Arena Sport 1
Ecuador	DAZN
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Israel	Sport 4
Italy	Como TV
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Paraguay	Tigo Sports
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Poland	Polsat Sport 2
Portugal	Sport TV2
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
South-america	DGO Latin America
Uruguay	Disney+, DSports 310
Usa	beIN Connect, SportsEngine Play
Venezuela	DAZN, DSports 1


	Boca Juniors		Deportivo Recoleta

	1	X	2
	1.18	7.5	13	Watch
	1.18	7.00	14.50
	1.19	5.75	14.5	Watch
	1.19	7.01	14.5
	1.24	5.9	12.57	Watch
	1.17	6.7	13	Watch
	1.19	8.05	18	Watch
	1.18	7.4	18
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.19 ↓ (1.37)	6.91 ↑ (4.57)	14.76 ↑ (8.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Boca Juniors
79.8%

Draw
13.7%

Deportivo Recoleta
6.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.5%

20.4%

11.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Boca Juniors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Boca Juniors's performance.

Deportivo Recoleta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	16.7%	0%

Boca Juniors - Deportivo Recoleta Predictions

Users Predictions: Boca Juniors will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Montero A. (G) 17. Lozano L. 2. Di Lollo L. 32. Costa A. 3. Blanco L. 18. Delgado M. 5. Paredes L. (C) 25. Ascacibar S. 19. Flores L. 16. Miguel Merentiel 10. Aranda T.	12. Ferreira N. (G) 15. Medina B. 5. Marotta N. 3. Cardozo L. (C) 25. Mosquera D. 17. Baez W. 38. Franco A. 7. Dominguez R. 18. Rios P. 30. Charpentier P. 33. Gonzalez A.
Substitutes
11. Angel Romero 8. Belmonte T. 27. Braida M. 12. Brey L. (G) 7. Carlos Palacios 4. Figal J. 24. Gorosito D. 26. Pellegrino M. 23. Rey Domenech C. 20. Velasco A. 22. Villa S. 21. Zenon K.	22. Barreto O. 6. Espinola J. 37. Falcon J. 8. Galeano F. 21. Garay C. 19. Lopez H. 1. Marsengo A. (G) 32. Monzon L. 9. Ortiz R. 11. Parzajuk K. 4. Pereira M. 10. Silva A.
Coaches
Arruabarrena R.	Gonzalez J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Rios P. ⚽,
33', Franco A. 🟨,
45+2', Baez W. 🟥,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Blanco L. ↓, Villa S. ↑,
46', Charpentier P. ↓, Barreto O. ↑,
46', Franco A. ↓, Espinola J. ↑,
49', 1 - 1, Ascacibar S. ⚽, Villa S. (A),
51', 2 - 1, Delgado M. ⚽, Villa S. (A),
58', Dominguez R. ↓, Galeano F. ↑,
59', Costa A. 🟨,
60', Mosquera D. 🟨,
62', 3 - 1, Flores L. ⚽, Miguel Merentiel (A),
69', Mosquera D. 🟨,
72', Costa A. ↓, Pellegrino M. ↑,
72', Gonzalez A. ↓, Monzon L. ↑,
82', Flores L. ↓, Zenon K. ↑,
84', Rios P. ↓, Lopez H. ↑,
89', Ascacibar S. ↓, Angel Romero ↑,

Preview

First leg.

Recent performances by Boca Juniors have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Boca Juniors may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Boca Juniors is the obvious favorite.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Outrights of Copa Sudamericana for now

Boca Juniors: 34.22%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Boca Juniors
Argentinian Liga Profesional
08.08.26	Boca Juniors - Vélez Sársfield	1:1 ✺
05.08.26	Boca Juniors - Estudiantes La Plata	1:0 ✺
02.08.26	Newells Old Boys - Boca Juniors	2:2 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
30.07.26	OHiggins - Boca Juniors	1:1 penalties ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
26.07.26	Deportivo Riestra - Boca Juniors	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 TWTWL
- Deportivo Recoleta
Paraguayan Primera Division
07.08.26	Rubio Ñu - Deportivo Recoleta	1:3 ✺
03.08.26	Deportivo Recoleta - Nacional Asuncion	3:2 ✺
30.07.26	Libertad Asuncion - Deportivo Recoleta	4:1 ✺
25.07.26	Deportivo Recoleta - Sportivo San Lorenzo	1:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
26.05.26	San Lorenzo - Deportivo Recoleta	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 29.3 WWLTW

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