Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 18 - Round 11Date: 16 November 2025, Sunday
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Deportivo Toledo |
|
Villarrobledo |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.25 |
4.75 |
11 |
|
 |
1.17 |
5.88 |
15.07 |
|
 |
1.28 |
4.90 |
10.43 |
 Watch |
 |
1.22 |
5.82 |
12.8 |
|
 |
1.36 |
4.6 |
7 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.26 ↓
(1.36) |
5.19 ↑
(4.6) |
11.26 ↑
(7) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
- The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Deportivo Toledo
73.9% | Draw
17.9% | Villarrobledo
8.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Toledo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportivo Toledo's performance.Villarrobledo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Toledo than the current prediction. (-3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villarrobledo than the current prediction. (+4.1%)Deportivo Toledo - Villarrobledo Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 34', 1 - 0, Molina L. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 55', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 61', 2 - 1, ⚽,
- 90+4', 3 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 18 (Play Offs: ) and 14).Both teams have been playing unpredictably.Toledo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. In this match, Toledo is the clear favorite.In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toledo won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:2. (average 1:0.4).Including home matches between the teams, Toledo won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 1.5:0).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18 | | | 06.04.25 | Villarrobledo - Deportivo Toledo | 0:1 | | 24.11.24 | Deportivo Toledo - Villarrobledo | 1:0 | | 14.01.24 | Villarrobledo - Deportivo Toledo | 1:1 | | 26.02.23 | Deportivo Toledo - Villarrobledo | 2:0 | | 23.10.22 | Villarrobledo - Deportivo Toledo | 1:0 |
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