Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 18 - Round 28

Date: 30 March 2025, Sunday


	Deportivo Toledo		Socuéllamos

	1	X	2
	2.1	2.9	3.65
	2.07	2.92	3.66
	2.1	2.9	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↑ (2.07)	2.91 ↓ (2.92)	3.65 ↓ (3.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Toledo
43.6%

Draw
31.4%

Socuéllamos
25%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44%

31.2%

24.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.4%

32.9%

23.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Toledo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Socuéllamos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Toledo than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Socuéllamos than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Deportivo Toledo - Socuéllamos Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
35', 0 - 1, Serrano M. ⚽,
42', 1 - 1, Mancebo A. ⚽,
45', 1 - 2, Garcia C. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 18 (Play Offs: ) and 7).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Toledo won 2.

Recent matches Toledo is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Socuéllamos is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Socuéllamos could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Toledo will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 16 head-to-head matches Toledo won 4 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 14:20 (average 0.9:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Toledo won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5:5 (average 0.8:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Toledo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
22.03.25	Villarrubia - Deportivo Toledo	0:2 ✺
16.03.25	Deportivo Toledo - Tarancón	0:0 ✺
09.03.25	Calvo Sotelo Puertollano - Deportivo Toledo	0:0 ✺
02.03.25	Deportivo Toledo - Pedroñeras	0:2 ✺
22.02.25	Noblejas - Deportivo Toledo	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WTTLW
- UD Socuéllamos
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
23.03.25	Socuéllamos - Valdepeñas	3:0 ✺
16.03.25	Azuqueca - Socuéllamos	1:1 ✺
09.03.25	Socuéllamos - Manzanares	3:0 ✺
02.03.25	Albacete B - Socuéllamos	0:1 ✺
23.02.25	Socuéllamos - Huracán Balazote	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 WTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
17.11.24	Socuéllamos - Deportivo Toledo	1:0
26.05.24	Deportivo Toledo - Socuéllamos	2:0
19.05.24	Socuéllamos - Deportivo Toledo	1:2
31.03.24	Deportivo Toledo - Socuéllamos	0:0
12.11.23	Socuéllamos - Deportivo Toledo	2:2
Club Friendly
15.08.23	Socuéllamos - Deportivo Toledo	3:2
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
27.03.22	Deportivo Toledo - Socuéllamos	0:0

Deportivo Toledo - Socuéllamos: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide