Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 18 - Round 18

Date: 18 January 2026, Sunday


	Deportivo Toledo		Tarancón

	1	X	2
	1.78	3	4.55
	1.78	3.23	4.63	Watch
	1.75	3	4.6
	1.78	3.02	4.81
	1.8	3.1	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 (1.78)	3.07 ↓ (3.35)	4.62 ↑ (4.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Toledo
50.9%

Draw
29.5%

Tarancón
19.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.1%

27.2%

21.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.7%

25.9%

20.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Toledo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Tarancón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Toledo than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tarancón than the current prediction. (+1%)

Deportivo Toledo - Tarancón Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
34', 0 - 1, Morihisa K. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
90', Barreto S. 🟥,
90+13', Gomez Vela C. 🟥,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 18 (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toledo won 0.

Both teams have triumphed in their latest matches.

In this match, Toledo is considered a favorite.

We predict that Toledo will win today's game, with odds of 1.7.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Toledo won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:6. (average 1:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Toledo won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 0.5:0).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Toledo	5	3	1	1	12:6	6	10
8	Tarancon	5	2	1	2	10:7	3	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Toledo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
11.01.26	Deportivo Toledo - Pedroñeras	2:1 ✺
21.12.25	Calvo Sotelo Puertollano - Deportivo Toledo	1:2 ✺
14.12.25	Deportivo Toledo - San Clemente	2:0 ✺
06.12.25	Villacañas - Deportivo Toledo	0:2 ✺
30.11.25	Deportivo Toledo - Illescas	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WWWWW
- CD Tarancón
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
11.01.26	Cazalegas - Tarancón	1:2 ✺
20.12.25	Tarancón - Huracán Balazote	3:1 ✺
14.12.25	Guadalajara B - Tarancón	0:1 ✺
06.12.25	Tarancón - Marchamalo	2:1 ✺
30.11.25	Azuqueca - Tarancón	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
06.09.25	Tarancón - Deportivo Toledo	1:1
16.03.25	Deportivo Toledo - Tarancón	0:0
02.11.24	Tarancón - Deportivo Toledo	2:1
03.12.23	Deportivo Toledo - Tarancón	0:0
15.01.23	Deportivo Toledo - Tarancón	0:0
20.03.21	Tarancón - Deportivo Toledo	0:1
14.12.19	Tarancón - Deportivo Toledo	3:1

Deportivo Toledo - Tarancón: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide