The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Villarrubia 21.1%
Draw 28.6%
Deportivo Toledo 50.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
26.5%
31.3%
42.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
23.9%
28.3%
46.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Villarrubia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Villarrubia's form might have worsened.
Deportivo Toledo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Deportivo Toledo's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villarrubia than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Toledo than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
Villarrubia - Deportivo Toledo Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
7', 1 - 0, Gutierrez J. ⚽,
42', 1 - 1, Rosell A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
85', 2 - 1, Segura V. ⚽,
Preview
One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 6 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 18 (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Villarrubia won 0.
Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
Recently, Villarrubia has had a series of away games.
Toledo is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Villarrubia won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:14. (average 0.9:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Villarrubia won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 1.5:1.8).
Watch
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