Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 18 - Round 13Date: 30 November 2025, Sunday
|
 |
|
 |
|
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Deportivo Toledo |
|
Illescas |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.39 |
3.75 |
8.1 |
|
 |
1.38 |
4.07 |
8.9 |
|
 |
1.61 |
3.46 |
5.88 |
 Watch |
 |
1.44 |
4.11 |
7.58 |
|
 |
1.36 |
4 |
8.5 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.44 ↑
(1.43) |
3.88 ↑
(3.75) |
7.79 ↑
(7.6) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Deportivo Toledo
64.3% | Draw
23.8% | Illescas
11.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Toledo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)Illescas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Toledo than the current prediction. (+1.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Illescas than the current prediction. (-0.3%)Deportivo Toledo - Illescas Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -1 - Toledo (1.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Toledo (votes: 1 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 12', 1 - 0, Moraleda A. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 65', 2 - 0, ⚽,
- 72', 3 - 0, ⚽,
- 90+4', 4 - 0, ⚽,
Preview
One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 18 (Play Offs: ) and 10).The recent form of both competitors has been shaky. In this match, Toledo is the obvious favorite.In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toledo won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 1.2:1.4).Including home match between the teams, Toledo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Club Friendly | | | 04.01.25 | Illescas - Deportivo Toledo | 1:0 | | 23.08.23 | Illescas - Deportivo Toledo | 1:1 | | Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18 | | | 23.04.23 | Illescas - Deportivo Toledo | 5:1 | | 08.01.23 | Deportivo Toledo - Illescas | 2:0 | | 24.11.19 | Illescas - Deportivo Toledo | 0:2 |
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