Match Info

Premiere Division - Round 19

Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday


	Derby Académie		Stade Malien

	1	X	2
	4.35	2.78	1.92
	4.72	2.65	2.01	Watch
	4.62	2.75	1.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.56 ↑ (4.1)	2.73 ↑ (2.71)	1.95 ↓ (2.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Derby Académie
19.9%

Draw
33.4%

Stade Malien
46.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.4%

34%

43.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.1%

33.6%

44.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Derby Académie has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Stade Malien has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derby Académie than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stade Malien than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Derby Académie - Stade Malien Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

(0 - 0)

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 8 and 5).

In recent matches, Derby Académie has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Stade Malien is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Derby Académie may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Stade Malien could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Derby Académie won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.

Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Stade Malien	26	14	8	4	28:15	13	50
9	Derby Academie	26	5	14	7	19:22	-3	29

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Derby Académie
Malian Première Division
15.04.26	Binga - Derby Académie	0:0 ✺
03.04.26	Derby Académie - Bougouba	2:0 ✺
17.03.26	Bakaridjan - Derby Académie	0:1 ✺
08.03.26	Derby Académie - Djoliba	0:2 ✺
02.03.26	USFAS Bamako - Derby Académie	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.4 TWWLT
- Stade Malien
Malian Première Division
22.04.26	Stade Malien - Afrique Football Elite	1:0 ✺
16.04.26	Stade Malien - Bougouba	1:0 ✺
08.04.26	Korofina - Stade Malien	0:2 ✺
05.04.26	Djoliba - Stade Malien	0:0 ✺
29.03.26	Stade Malien - Diarra	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Malian Première Division
27.12.25	Stade Malien - Derby Académie	3:0

Derby Académie - Stade Malien: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide