Match Info
Premiere Division - Round 13Date: 29 March 2026, SundayWhere to Watch on TV: | |
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 World | FIFA+ |
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Stade Malien |
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Diarra |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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1.82 |
3.1 |
4.15 |
 Watch |
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1.85 |
3.09 |
4.11 |
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1.82 |
3.23 |
4.4 |
Watch |
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1.85 |
2.9 |
4.2 |
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1.73 |
3.46 |
4.97 |
Watch |
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.81 ↓
(2.17) |
3.16 ↑
(2.92) |
4.37 ↑
(3.52) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Stade Malien
50.2% | Draw
28.9% | Diarra
20.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Stade Malien has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Stade Malien's performance.Diarra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Diarra might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stade Malien than the current prediction. (-7.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Stade Malien that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Diarra than the current prediction. (+4.8%)Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 and 4).Stade Malien has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).Diarra is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).Diarra may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. Stade Malien could have a small edge in this match.In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Stade Malien won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).Including home match between the teams, Stade Malien won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
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Standings
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 2 | Stade Malien | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 28:15 | 13 | 50 |
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| 4 | Diarra | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 32:24 | 8 | 44 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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