The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sunderland 51.2%
Draw 26.9%
Durham 22%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.9%
27.1%
30%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.2%
26.3%
29.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sunderland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sunderland's performance.
Durham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Durham might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sunderland than the current prediction. (-7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sunderland that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Durham than the current prediction. (+7.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Durham could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Sunderland - Durham Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Lambourne D. (G) 25. Rabjohn E. 27. Westrup B. (C) 4. Greenwood H. 6. Griffiths L. 19. Barry K. 14. Fenton N. 17. Finn J. 8. Scarr E. 10. Kitching K. 20. Jones E.
13. King A. (G) 2. Ayre G. 6. Robson S. 20. Foster M. 19. Wilson E. 7. Hepple B. (C) 16. Ede G. 10. Blake H. 27. Jones A. 11. Grant A. 9. Watson L.
Substitutes
37. Blades R. 12. Cassap E. 3. Corbyn M. 18. McInnes L. 16. Moloney G. (G) 22. O'Hanlon T. 5. Roberts R. 21. Sheva M. 7. Watson K.
3. Briggs L. 15. Pritchard P. 35. Sheppard C. (G) 17. Speckmaier M. 4. Toland T. 5. Wilson S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
18', Ayre G. 🟨,
41', Robson S. 🟨,
45+1', Robson S. ↓, Wilson S. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
50', 1 - 0, Scarr E. ⚽, Kitching K. (A),
62', Barry K. 🟨,
64', Grant A. ↓, Pritchard P. ↑,
64', Ayre G. ↓, Briggs L. ↑,
64', Blake H. ↓, Toland T. ↑,
72', 1 - 1, Hepple B. ⚽,
73', Kitching K. ↓, Sheva M. ↑,
73', Jones E. ↓, Watson K. ↑,
77', Wilson E. ↓, Speckmaier M. ↑,
78', Rabjohn E. ↓, Corbyn M. ↑,
Penalties (4 - 3)
1, Hepple B. (Pen),
1, Fenton N. (Pen),
2, Watson L. (Pen),
2, Barry K. (Pen),
3, Foster M. (Pen),
3, Scarr E. (Pen),
4, Speckmaier M. (Pen),
4, Westrup B. (Pen),
5, Briggs L. (Pen),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sunderland won 4.
Sunderland is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
In recent matches, Durham has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Sunderland is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Sunderland won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 19:18. (average 1.7:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Sunderland won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:13. (average 2.1:1.9).
Watch
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Lambourne D. (G) 
Westrup B. (C) 
Finn J. 
Kitching K. 
Jones E. 
Robson S. 
Blades R. 
Sheppard C. (G) 
Speckmaier M. 
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