The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Derby County U21 45.6%
Draw 22%
Blackburn Rovers U21 32.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
53.7%
20.1%
26.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
54.5%
19.8%
25.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Derby County U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Derby County U21's form might have worsened.
Blackburn Rovers U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Blackburn Rovers U21's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derby County U21 than the current prediction. (+8.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Derby County U21, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Blackburn Rovers U21 than the current prediction. (-6.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Blackburn Rovers U21, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
60%
40%
0%
Derby County U21 - Blackburn Rovers U21 Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Derby U21 will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Evans H. (G) 2. Rooney J. 5. Cox D. (C) 6. Robinson K. 3. Moloney R. 7. Perry J. 4. Turley F. 8. Robinson D. 11. McAndrew N. 10. Osong J. 9. Wheeldon L.
1. Michalski N. (G) 2. Doherty R. (C) 4. Atcheson T. 5. Gamble P. 3. Powell B. 7. Stritch Z. 6. Montgomery K. 8. Edmondson J. 11. Doherty A. 10. Garrett J. 9. Mafoumbi M'Badinga E.
Substitutes
15. Allen C. 14. Canoville R. 16. Davidson J. 12. Oguntolu J. 13. Shattell J. (G)
14. Boggan J. 16. Edmondson S. 15. Farkas P. 13. Honor S. (G) 12. Pratt G.
Coaches
Buxton J.
Sheron M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
3', Atcheson T. 🟨,
10', Montgomery K. 🟨,
17', Osong J. ↓, Davidson J. ↑,
30', Turley F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Turley F. ↓, Allen C. ↑,
66', Moloney R. 🟨,
67', Gamble P. 🟨,
69', Mafoumbi M'Badinga E. ↓, Boggan J. ↑,
69', Gamble P. ↓, Pratt G. ↑,
79', Stritch Z. ↓, Farkas P. ↑,
80', Doherty R. ↓, Edmondson S. ↑,
84', Davidson J. ↓, Canoville R. ↑,
89', Atcheson T. 🟨,
90+2', Garrett J. 🟨,
90+3', Rooney J. ↓, Oguntolu J. ↑,
Preview
In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 18 and 23).
Both teams are now playing unstable.
Blackburn U21 could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Recently opponents have a series of guest games.
Derby U21 will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 5 head-to-head matches Derby U21 won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9:7 (average 1.8:1.4).
Including matches at home between the teams Derby U21 won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:4 (average 1.3:1.3).