The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Maidenhead United 56.9%
Draw 21.8%
Derby County U21 21.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
53.6%
22.7%
23.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
54.8%
22.2%
23.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Maidenhead United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
Derby County U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maidenhead United than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derby County U21 than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
Maidenhead United - Derby County U21 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Collins H. (G) 32. Ajose J. 25. Barratt S. 2. Bell Z. 7. Carvalho R. 20. Clerima R. 19. Cochrane O. 10. Ferdinand K. 15. Hale S. 24. Massey A. (C) 14. Sho-Silva T.
1. Thompson J. (G) 11. Allen C. 3. Gill T. 8. Hawkins H. 9. Ilesanmi E. 2. Perry J. 4. Robinson D. 6. Robinson K. 5. Rooney J. (C) 7. Turley F. 10. Wheeldon L.
Substitutes
27. Davies J. 4. De Havilland W. 29. Dundas J. 5. Lokko K. 9. McCoulsky S. 28. McMenemy J. 16. Pettit C.
17. Eames O. 13. Evans H. (G) 14. Osayande A. 16. Osong J. 18. Richards J. 12. Spencer M. 15. Stepien-Iwumene A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, Sho-Silva T. ⚽,
27', 2 - 0, Ajose J. ⚽, Barratt S. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 3)
46', Ferdinand K. ↓, Dundas J. ↑,
48', 2 - 1, Wheeldon L. ⚽,
59', Gill T. 🟨,
61', 2 - 2, Robinson D. ⚽, Turley F. (A),
62', Ilesanmi E. ↓, Osong J. ↑,
62', Turley F. ↓, Spencer M. ↑,
64', Clerima R. ↓, De Havilland W. ↑,
70', 3 - 2, Ajose J. ⚽, Sho-Silva T. (A),
73', 3 - 3, Hawkins H. ⚽, Osong J. (A),
74', Barratt S. ↓, Pettit C. ↑,
77', Allen C. 🟨,
78', Allen C. ↓, Eames O. ↑,
80', Spencer M. 🟨,
86', Hale S. ↓, McMenemy J. ↑,
90', Massey A. 🟨,
90', Robinson D. 🟨,
Penalties (7 - 6)
1, Sho-Silva T. (Pen),
1, Spencer M. (Pen),
2, De Havilland W. (Pen),
2, Rooney J. (Pen),
3, Carvalho R. (Pen),
3, Robinson K. (Pen),
4, Cochrane O. (Pen),
4, Wheeldon L. (Pen),
5, Cochrane O. (Pen),
5, Wheeldon L. (Pen),
6, Ajose J. (Pen),
6, Gill T. (Pen),
7, Bell Z. (Pen),
7, Hawkins H. (Pen),
8, McMenemy J. (Pen),
8, Robinson D. (Pen),
Preview
The game of competitors is shaky now.
Maidenhead could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
United-kingdom
Watch
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Collins H. (G) 
Bell Z. 
Clerima R. 
Ferdinand K. 
Robinson D. 
Spencer M. 
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