The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sunderland U21 61.3%
Draw 18.8%
Derby County U21 19.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
60.3%
18.9%
20.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
61.7%
18.5%
20.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sunderland U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
Derby County U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sunderland U21 than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derby County U21 than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
Sunderland U21 - Derby County U21 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Cameron D. (G) 6. Anderson J. 8. Burke M. 9. Connolly A. 5. Johnson Z. 10. Jones H. (C) 3. Jones J. 2. Lavery T. 4. Middlemas B. 7. Rusyn N. 11. Watson T.
1. Price H. (G) 8. Allen C. 2. Bardell M. (C) 9. Brown D. 3. Gill T. 11. Moloney R. 5. Osayande A. 7. Perry J. 6. Robinson K. 10. Stepien-Iwumene A. 4. Turley F.
Substitutes
15. Kelly C. 14. Kindon B. 12. Lenz E. 13. Metcalf B. (G) 16. Walsh R.
16. Ebuka C. 15. Hawkins H. 12. McAndrew N. 13. Rees H. (G) 14. Spencer M.
Coaches
Murty G.
Buxton J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
2', Gill T. 🟨,
19', 1 - 0, Watson T. ⚽, Jones H. (A),
26', 2 - 0, Connolly A. ⚽, Watson T. (A),
42', Stepien-Iwumene A. 🟨,
2nd Half (4 - 0)
46', Connolly A. ↓, Kelly C. ↑,
46', Stepien-Iwumene A. ↓, Hawkins H. ↑,
46', Perry J. ↓, McAndrew N. ↑,
53', 3 - 0, Kelly C. (Pen),
62', Burke M. ↓, Lenz E. ↑,
65', Moloney R. ↓, Spencer M. ↑,
69', Johnson Z. ↓, Kindon B. ↑,
73', Allen C. ↓, Ebuka C. ↑,
87', 4 - 0, Rusyn N. ⚽,
88', Jones H. ↓, Walsh R. ↑,
90+1', 5 - 0, Jones J. ⚽,
90+3', 6 - 0, Watson T. ⚽,
90+4', Bartley R. 🟨,
Preview
Sunderland U21 is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Derby U21 is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Derby U21 could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Recently Derby U21 have a series of home games.
In this match Sunderland U21 is a favorite.
Last 3 head-to-head matches Sunderland U21 won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8:2 (average 2.7:0.7).
Including matches at home between the teams Sunderland U21 won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:2 (average 2:1).
Watch
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Cameron D. (G) 
Connolly A. 
Rusyn N. 
Allen C. 
Lenz E. 
Metcalf B. (G) 
Spencer M. 
Murty G. 
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