Match Info
Premier League CupDate: 21 November 2025, Friday
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Derby County U21 |
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Stoke City U21 |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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2.05 |
3.7 |
2.88 |
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2.02 |
3.7 |
2.88 |
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2.04 |
3.62 |
2.99 |
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1.83 |
4 |
3.2 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.99 ↓ (2.11) |
3.76 ↑ (3.61) |
2.99 ↑ (2.8) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
- The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Derby County U21 45.6% | Draw 24.1% | Stoke City U21 30.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Derby County U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)Stoke City U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Derby County U21 than the current prediction. (-1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stoke City U21 than the current prediction. (+0.6%)Derby County U21 - Stoke City U21 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (2 - 2)
- 2', 1 - 0, Osong J. ⚽, Eames O. (A),
- 30', 2 - 0, Oguntolu J. ⚽,
- 33', 2 - 1, Otegbayo R. ⚽, Chibueze C. (A),
- 38', 2 - 2, Enabulele O. ⚽, Walker A. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Derby U21 won 1.Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately. Derby U21 could have a small edge in this match.In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Derby U21 won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 18:22. (average 2.3:2.8).Including home matches between the teams, Derby U21 won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:10. (average 3:2.5).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| English Premier League 2 | | | 14.03.25 | Stoke City U21 - Derby County U21 | 5:3 | | 15.03.24 | Derby County U21 - Stoke City U21 | 1:2 | | 20.03.23 | Derby County U21 - Stoke City U21 | 1:6 | | 07.11.22 | Stoke City U21 - Derby County U21 | 4:0 | | English Premier League U21 | | | 11.01.16 | Derby County U21 - Stoke City U21 | 3:1 | | 31.10.15 | Stoke City U21 - Derby County U21 | 1:2 | | 27.01.15 | Derby County U21 - Stoke City U21 | 7:1 |
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