The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sunderland U21 48.7%
Draw 22.4%
Stoke City U21 28.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
53.8%
21.1%
25.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
54.4%
20.9%
24.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sunderland U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sunderland U21's form might have worsened.
Stoke City U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sunderland U21 than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sunderland U21, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stoke City U21 than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
Sunderland U21 - Stoke City U21 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Allan I. (G) 2. Jones J. 5. Neild J. 6. Holcroft F. 3. Lightfoot A. 4. Jones J. 8. Whittaker J. 7. Walsh R. 10. Middlemas B. (C) 11. Scott F. 9. Tuterov T.
1. Clothier C. (G) 2. Mears J. 4. Otegbayo R. 5. Griffin J. 3. Giani L. 6. Kelly G. (C) 8. Enabulele O. 7. Chibueze C. 10. Fawunmi F. 11. Matondo J. 9. Walker A.
Substitutes
14. Burns M. 13. Metcalf B. (G) 12. Moore E. 16. Shakespeare C. 15. Waters J.
12. Bickerton J. 13. Cooper N. (G) 16. Maskall J. 15. Ogbebor J. 14. Willox K.
Coaches
Murty G.
Hibbert D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
3', Allan I. 🟨,
9', 1 - 0, Whittaker J. ⚽, Tuterov T. (A),
10', 1 - 1, Chibueze C. ⚽, Fawunmi F. (A),
35', Neild J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
65', Jones J. 🟨,
65', Walsh R. ↓, Moore E. ↑,
66', Matondo J. ↓, Maskall J. ↑,
70', Mears J. 🟨,
71', Tuterov T. 🟨,
73', Tuterov T. ↓, Waters J. ↑,
79', Middlemas B. ↓, Burns M. ↑,
80', Walker A. ↓, Ogbebor J. ↑,
80', Mears J. ↓, Bickerton J. ↑,
82', Allan I. 🟨,
90+6', Waters J. 🟨,
90+8', 1 - 2, Otegbayo R. ⚽,
Preview
Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
Sunderland U21 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Sunderland U21 could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Sunderland U21 won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 3.5:1.5).
Including home match between the teams, Sunderland U21 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1.