The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Derby County U21 25.5%
Draw 23.2%
West Ham United U21 51.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
27.1%
23%
49.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
26.6%
22.5%
50.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Derby County U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
West Ham United U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derby County U21 than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for West Ham United U21 than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
Derby County U21 - West Ham United U21 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Evans H. (G) 2. Corry S. 5. Banks L. (C) 6. Crolla L. 3. Robinson K. 8. Gill K. 4. Offor R. 7. Green I. 10. Mintus M. 11. Wilson C. 9. Oguntolu J.
1. Wooster T. (G) 2. Medine J. 5. Battrum R. 4. Akpata T. 3. Brown L. 8. Orford L. 6. Golambeckis A. (C) 7. Fearon P. 10. Ajala J. 11. Clayton R. 9. Landers J.
Substitutes
16. Griffiths E. 15. Hodges D. 14. McAndrew N. 12. Taylor A. 13. Thompson J. (G)
15. Caliste G. 12. Cummings D. 13. Goodger T. (G) 14. Hargan R. 16. Rigge D.
Coaches
Maye D.
Lincoln G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
21', 0 - 1, Landers J. ⚽, Orford L. (A),
23', Gill K. 🟨,
35', 1 - 1, Green I. ⚽, Robinson K. (A),
37', 2 - 1, Oguntolu J. ⚽, Corry S. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
48', Brown L. 🟨,
50', 2 - 2, Landers J. ⚽, Orford L. (A),
61', Golambeckis A. ↓, Cummings D. ↑,
66', Wilson C. ↓, McAndrew N. ↑,
74', Gill K. ↓, Griffiths E. ↑,
86', Mintus M. ↓, Hodges D. ↑,
90', 3 - 2, Oguntolu J. ⚽, Griffiths E. (A),
90+2', Akpata T. ↓, Caliste G. ↑,
90+3', 4 - 2, McAndrew N. ⚽,
Preview
Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 29 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League 2 (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
Recent form of Derby U21 has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
West Ham U21 is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Recently, Derby U21 has had a series of away games.
West Ham U21 might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Derby U21 won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 1.3:2).
Including home matches between the teams, Derby U21 won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
15
West Ham U21
4
1
2
1
5:5
0
5
20
Derby U21
4
1
1
2
9:12
-3
4
Last Results with these Odds
West Ham United U21 - the odds 1.86 are the expected chance of winning is 49.87%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.