Match Info

Date: 21 February 2022, Monday 🏁 Finished


	Derby County U23		Everton U23

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.65	2.3
	2.85	3.55	2.02
	2.89	3.76	2.15
	2.8	3.85	2.15	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.76 ↑ (2.03)	3.7 ↓ (3.73)	2.16 ↓ (3.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Derby County U23
33%

Draw
24.6%

Everton U23
42.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

45.8%

24.9%

29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.2%

16.4%

44.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Derby County U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Derby County U23's form might have worsened.

Everton U23 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Everton U23's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Derby County U23 than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Everton U23 than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Derby County U23 - Everton U23 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Derby U23 won 1.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Everton U23 could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Derby U23 won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 13-19.

Including matches at home between the teams Derby U23 won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Derby County U23
English Premier League Cup
14.02.22	Reading U23 - Derby County U23	1:3 ✺
English Premier League 2
07.02.22	Derby County U23 - Manchester City U23	0:5 ✺
21.01.22	Derby County U23 - Arsenal U23	1:1 ✺
17.01.22	Leeds United U23 - Derby County U23	2:0 ✺
English Premier League Cup
14.01.22	Charlton Athletic U23 - Derby County U23	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WLTLW
- Everton U23
English Premier League Cup
11.02.22	Burnley U23 - Everton U23	2:1 ✺
English Premier League 2
04.02.22	Everton U23 - Leicester City U23	1:2 ✺
24.01.22	Everton U23 - Tottenham Hotspur U23	1:0 ✺
15.01.22	Liverpool U23 - Everton U23	1:1 ✺
10.01.22	Everton U23 - Crystal Palace U23	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LLWTT

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League 2
10.09.21	Everton U23 - Derby County U23	1:0
01.02.21	Derby County U23 - Everton U23	1:3
28.09.20	Everton U23 - Derby County U23	4:1
17.02.20	Everton U23 - Derby County U23	2:1
18.10.19	Derby County U23 - Everton U23	4:1
16.12.18	Everton U23 - Derby County U23	1:0
17.09.18	Derby County U23 - Everton U23	1:0

Derby County U23 - Everton U23

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Derby County U23 - Everton U23 Predictions

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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