Match Info

Premier League - Round 9

Date: 3 November 2025, Monday


	Deren		Khovd

	1	X	2
				Watch
				Watch
	1.33	6	5.74
	1.3	5.33	6.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↑ (1.3)	5.67 ↑ (5.33)	6.04 ↓ (6.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deren
69%

Draw
16%

Khovd
15%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69%

16.8%

14.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.6%

16%

13.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Deren have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Khovd has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deren than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Khovd than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Deren - Khovd Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (4 - 0)
36', 1 - 0, ⚽,
39', 2 - 0, ⚽,
45', 3 - 0, ⚽,
45+2', 4 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (4 - 0)
49', 5 - 0, ⚽,
70', 6 - 0, ⚽,
73', 7 - 0, ⚽,
80', 8 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deren won 3.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, Deren is the clear favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Deren won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 29:12. (average 3.6:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Deren won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:4. (average 3.3:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deren FC
Mongolian Premier League
30.10.25	Central Stallions - Deren	1:0 ✺
26.10.25	Deren - Ulaanbaatar	1:1 ✺
14.10.25	Hunters - Deren	0:1 ✺
11.10.25	Deren - Khangarid	1:1 ✺
20.09.25	Falcons - Deren	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LTWTL
- Khovd FC
Mongolian Premier League
29.10.25	Khovd - Hunters	2:0 ✺
25.10.25	Khangarid - Khovd	4:1 ✺
15.10.25	Khovd Western - Khovd	3:0 ✺
04.10.25	Khovd - Khoromkhon	7:2 ✺
28.09.25	Central Stallions - Khovd	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Mongolian Premier League
05.04.25	Khovd - Deren	1:2
20.09.24	Deren - Khovd	4:2
29.10.23	Khovd - Deren	2:5
13.05.23	Khovd - Deren	3:0
16.03.23	Deren - Khovd	1:2
28.08.22	Khovd - Deren	0:6
15.05.22	Deren - Khovd	5:0

Deren - Khovd: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide