Match Info

NORTHERN IRELAND: NIFL CHAMPIONSHIP - ROUND 5

Date: 2 September 2023, Saturday


	Dergview		Dundela

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.6	2
	3.02	3.49	1.98
	2.62	3.6	2.2
	3.1	3.75	2.01
	3.05	3.65	2.02
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.94 ↑ (2.64)	3.62 ↓ (3.65)	2.04 ↓ (2.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dergview
30.8%

Draw
25%

Dundela
44.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.4%

24.9%

40.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.6%

24.3%

41.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dergview has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Dundela has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dergview than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dundela than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Dergview - Dundela Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 10 in the zone NIFL Championship (Relegation Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NIFL Championship (Promotion Group: )).

Dergview is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Dundela is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Dergview could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Dundela will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Dergview won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Dergview won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dergview FC
Northern Irish Championship
26.08.23	Dergview - Annagh United	0:1 ✺
19.08.23	Harland & Wolff Welders - Dergview	2:3 ✺
12.08.23	Ballinamallard United - Dergview	4:2 ✺
05.08.23	Dergview - Portadown	2:3 ✺
Club Friendly
18.07.23	Loughgall - Dergview	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LWLLL
- Dundela
Northern Irish Championship
26.08.23	Dundela - Ballinamallard United	2:1 ✺
18.08.23	Bangor - Dundela	1:2 ✺
12.08.23	Dundela - Ballyclare Comrades	4:0 ✺
05.08.23	Annagh United - Dundela	5:2 ✺
Club Friendly
25.07.23	Dundela - Carrick Rangers	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Northern Irish Championship
18.03.23	Dergview - Dundela	2:3
04.02.23	Dundela - Dergview	1:1
08.10.22	Dergview - Dundela	0:1
01.01.22	Dundela - Dergview	2:2
11.08.18	Dundela - Dergview	3:2

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