Match Info

NORTHERN IRELAND: NIFL Championship - Relegation Group - Round 36

Date: 13 April 2024, Saturday


	Ballinamallard United		Dergview

	1	X	2
	1.5	3.9	5
	1.53	4	5.5
	1.52	4.11	5.54
	1.5	4.1	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.54)	4.03 ↓ (4.09)	5.36 ↑ (5.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ballinamallard United
60.3%

Draw
22.7%

Dergview
17%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60%

22.6%

17.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4%

16.7%

23.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ballinamallard United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Dergview has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ballinamallard United than the current prediction. (-15.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ballinamallard United that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dergview than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dergview could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
1', 1 - 0, Barker D. ⚽,
26', 2 - 0, Byrne D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ballinamallard United
Northern Irish Championship
06.04.24	Ballinamallard United - Newington	3:1 ✺
02.04.24	Knockbreda - Ballinamallard United	2:0 ✺
23.03.24	Ballinamallard United - Annagh United	1:0 ✺
16.03.24	Dundela - Ballinamallard United	1:0 ✺
09.03.24	Ballinamallard United - Bangor	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WLWLL
- Dergview FC
Northern Irish Championship
06.04.24	Ballyclare Comrades - Dergview	2:1 ✺
23.03.24	Ards - Dergview	2:0 ✺
12.03.24	Dergview - Ballyclare Comrades	1:1 ✺
09.03.24	Newington - Dergview	3:0 ✺
05.03.24	Dergview - Ballinamallard United	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Northern Irish Championship
05.03.24	Dergview - Ballinamallard United	0:0
26.12.23	Dergview - Ballinamallard United	1:0
12.08.23	Ballinamallard United - Dergview	4:2
18.04.23	Dergview - Ballinamallard United	1:0
26.12.22	Ballinamallard United - Dergview	2:2
23.08.22	Ballinamallard United - Dergview	0:0
09.04.22	Dergview - Ballinamallard United	1:1

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