Match Info

NIFL Championship - Round 28

Date: 14 February 2026, Saturday


	Dundela		Ballinamallard United

	1	X	2
	2.82	3.5	2.2
	2.76	3.54	2.17
	2.76	3.71	2.2	Watch
	2.75	3.2	2.2
	2.83	3.44	2.19
	2.75	3.5	2.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.78 ↑ (2.76)	3.48 ↓ (3.71)	2.19 ↓ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dundela
32.6%

Draw
26%

Ballinamallard United
41.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.4%

24.8%

41.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.9%

23.7%

43.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dundela has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Ballinamallard United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dundela than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ballinamallard United than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Dundela - Ballinamallard United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 4)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dundela won 1.

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

Ballinamallard may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Ballinamallard has had a series of home games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Dundela won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 28:28. (average 1.6:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Dundela won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:15. (average 1.9:1.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Ballinamallard	10	4	2	4	16:16	0	14
12	Dundela	10	2	5	3	18:20	-2	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dundela
Northern Irish Championship
07.02.26	Newington - Dundela	2:0 ✺
31.01.26	Armagh City - Dundela	0:3 ✺
24.01.26	Dundela - Queens University Belfast	1:1 ✺
17.01.26	Institute FC - Dundela	2:1 ✺
13.01.26	Dundela - Loughgall	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LWTLL
- Ballinamallard United
Northern Irish Championship
31.01.26	Ballinamallard United - Institute FC	0:1 ✺
16.01.26	Ballinamallard United - Limavady United	0:1 ✺
Northern Irish Cup
13.01.26	Ballinamallard United - Institute FC	0:3 ✺
Northern Irish Championship
30.12.25	Ballinamallard United - Queens University Belfast	1:1 ✺
26.12.25	Annagh United - Ballinamallard United	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 LLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Northern Irish Championship
08.11.25	Dundela - Ballinamallard United	2:2
20.09.25	Ballinamallard United - Dundela	2:1
08.02.25	Ballinamallard United - Dundela	3:1
30.11.24	Ballinamallard United - Dundela	1:2
31.08.24	Dundela - Ballinamallard United	3:3
16.03.24	Dundela - Ballinamallard United	1:0
11.11.23	Ballinamallard United - Dundela	0:0

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