Match Info

TURKEY: 2. Lig Red Group - Round 14

Date: 30 November 2024, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Derince Belediyespor		Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu

	1	X	2
	2.3	2.95	2.85
	2.5	3.05	2.85
	2.57	3.05	2.87
	2.54	2.93	2.83
	2.46	2.93	2.76
	2.45	3	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↑ (2.22)	2.99 ↓ (3.2)	2.85 ↓ (2.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Derince Belediyespor
37.1%

Draw
30.7%

Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu
32.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

40.8%

28.3%

30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.5%

27.2%

29.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Derince Belediyespor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derince Belediyespor than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Derince Belediyespor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Derince Belediyespor - Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
70', Parlak B. 🟨,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 15).

Derince Belediyespor has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

İdman Yurdu is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Derince Belediyespor won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1 (average 0.5:0.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Derince Belediyespor won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Derince Belediyespor
Turkish Second League Red Group
23.11.24	Beyoglu Yeni Carsi - Derince Belediyespor	3:1 ✺
17.11.24	Derince Belediyespor - Karacabey Belediyespor	0:2 ✺
10.11.24	Bucaspor 1928 - Derince Belediyespor	2:1 ✺
03.11.24	Derince Belediyespor - Serik Belediyespor	1:7 ✺
Turkish Cup
30.10.24	Derince Belediyespor - Tire 2021	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu
Turkish Second League Red Group
24.11.24	Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu - Karaman Belediyespor	0:3 ✺
17.11.24	Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu - Giresunspor	1:0 ✺
09.11.24	Beyoglu Yeni Carsi - Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu	1:0 ✺
03.11.24	Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu - Karacabey Belediyespor	0:2 ✺
26.10.24	Bucaspor 1928 - Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish 3 Lig Group 1
01.04.23	Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu - Derince Belediyespor	1:1
29.10.22	Derince Belediyespor - Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu	0:0

Derince Belediyespor - Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu