Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 4 - ROUND 20

Date: 10 February 2024, Saturday


	Derio		Anaitasuna

	1	X	2
	2.2	2.95	3
	2.25	3	3.1
	2.13	2.85	3
	2.26	2.86	3.13
	2.23	3.04	3.14
	2.25	3	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↑ (1.93)	2.95 ↓ (3.1)	3.08 ↓ (3.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Derio
40.4%

Draw
30.4%

Anaitasuna
29.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.1%

29.3%

23.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.9%

28.2%

22.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Derio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Derio's form might have worsened.

Anaitasuna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Anaitasuna's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derio than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Derio, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Anaitasuna than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Anaitasuna, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 and 15).

Recent matches Derio is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Anaitasuna is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Derio will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Derio
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
03.02.24	Aurrerá Ondarroa - Derio	0:2 ✺
27.01.24	Derio - Basconia	0:0 ✺
20.01.24	Derio - Añorga	2:0 ✺
14.01.24	Alavés C - Derio	1:0 ✺
07.01.24	Derio - Deusto	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WTWLT
- CD Anaitasuna
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
03.02.24	Urduliz - Anaitasuna	3:2 ✺
27.01.24	Anaitasuna - Aurrerá Ondarroa	1:0 ✺
20.01.24	Anaitasuna - Basconia	2:2 ✺
13.01.24	Añorga - Anaitasuna	2:1 ✺
07.01.24	Anaitasuna - Alavés C	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LWTLL

Derio - Anaitasuna: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide