Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 4 - Round 5

Date: 4 October 2026, Sunday


	Derio		Beasain

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.05	2.45
	2.58	3.12	2.52
	2.6	3.22	2.55	Watch
	2.5	3.05	2.45
	2.66	3.45	2.59
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.58 ↑ (2.09)	3.18 ↓ (3.2)	2.51 ↓ (3.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Derio
35.2%

Draw
28.6%

Beasain
36.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.9%

28.7%

27.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Derio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Derio's form might have worsened.

Beasain has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Beasain's recent form is better than expected.

Derio - Beasain Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Beasain (votes: 1 - 100%).

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, De Urbina M. ⚽,
44', 2 - 0, Garcia E. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Derio has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Derio may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Derio has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1:7 (averaging 0.3:1.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Derio against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 1:4 goals (averaging 0.5:2 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Derio	5	3	2	0	7:2	5	11
16	Beasain	5	1	1	3	3:6	-3	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Derio
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
26.09.26	Aretxabaleta - Derio	1:2 ✺
20.09.26	Derio - Santurtzi	2:0 ✺
Spanish Copa Federacion
16.09.26	Derio - Salamanca	3:5 AET ✺
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
12.09.26	San Ignacio - Derio	1:1 ✺
Spanish Copa Federacion
09.09.26	Compostela - Derio	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 WWLTW
- SD Beasain
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
19.09.26	Touring KE - Beasain	2:0 ✺
13.09.26	Aretxabaleta - Beasain	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
22.08.26	Beasain - Alavés C	3:1 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
03.05.26	Beasain - Zaragoza B	3:2 ✺
26.04.26	Náxara - Beasain	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
16.04.25	Beasain - Derio	2:0
06.12.24	Derio - Beasain	1:4
02.03.24	Derio - Beasain	0:0
12.10.23	Beasain - Derio	1:0

Derio - Beasain: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide