Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 2 - Round 33

Date: 26 April 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Náxara		Beasain

	1	X	2
	2.38	3.1	2.72
	2.48	3.1	2.78
	2.45	3.11	2.79	Watch
	2.45	2.9	2.7
	2.33	3.2	2.71
	2.14	3.15	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↑ (2.14)	3.09 ↓ (3.15)	2.79 ↓ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Náxara
38.2%

Draw
29.3%

Beasain
32.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42%

28.5%

29.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5%

29.5%

28.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Náxara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Beasain has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Náxara than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Náxara, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Beasain than the current prediction. (-4%)

Náxara - Beasain Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
24', 1 - 0, Rojo I. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 and 15 in the zone Relegation).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Náxara may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Náxara won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
17	Naxara	4	0	1	3	1:8	-7	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Náxara CD
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
19.04.26	Alfaro - Náxara	2:1 ✺
12.04.26	Náxara - SD Logroñés	2:0 ✺
05.04.26	Real Unión de Irun - Náxara	3:0 ✺
29.03.26	Náxara - Sestao	1:1 ✺
21.03.26	Gernika - Náxara	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 LWLTW
- SD Beasain
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
19.04.26	Beasain - UD Logroñés	1:1 ✺
11.04.26	Ebro - Beasain	1:0 ✺
05.04.26	Sestao - Beasain	1:1 ✺
28.03.26	Beasain - Mutilvera	3:2 ✺
21.03.26	Eibar B - Beasain	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19 TLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
04.01.26	Beasain - Náxara	0:1

Upcoming Matches