Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP A - ROUND 15

Date: 27 November 2022, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Derthona		Castellanzese

	1	X	2
	1.82	3.5	3.5
	1.85	3.5	3.4
	1.9	3.48	3.35
	1.8	3.6	3.6
	1.85	3.55	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↑ (1.8)	3.53 ↑ (3.47)	3.49 ↓ (3.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 10%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Derthona
48.7%

Draw
25.5%

Castellanzese
25.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

49.4%

25.7%

24.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2%

24.3%

23.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Derthona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Castellanzese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derthona than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castellanzese than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Derthona - Castellanzese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 and 8).

Derthona in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Castellanzese is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Derthona will have a poor advantage in this game.

Our prediction for today's Derthona to win the game is with odds 1.8.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Derthona won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Derthona won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Derthona FBC
Italian Serie D - Group A
20.11.22	Derthona - Asti	1:1 ✺
13.11.22	Chisola - Derthona	2:3 ✺
06.11.22	Derthona - Castanese	3:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
02.11.22	Casale - Derthona	0:1 ✺
Italian Serie D - Group A
23.10.22	Derthona - Legnano	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.7 TWWWW
- USD Castellanzese
Italian Serie D - Group A
20.11.22	Castellanzese - Pinerolo	1:0 ✺
13.11.22	Asti - Castellanzese	1:1 ✺
06.11.22	Castellanzese - Unione Sanremo	4:4 ✺
23.10.22	Castellanzese - Bra	1:1 ✺
16.10.22	Legnano - Castellanzese	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WTTTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group A
15.05.21	Castellanzese - Derthona	3:2
17.01.21	Derthona - Castellanzese	1:2

Derthona - Castellanzese

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Derthona - Castellanzese Predictions

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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