Match Info

Liga de Ascenso - Clausura - Round 12

Date: 12 March 2026, Thursday


	Desamparados		Aserrí

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.45	3.95
	1.74	3.49	4.08
	1.77	3.72	4.26	Watch
	1.75	3.3	4.2
	1.76	3.62	4.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (2.25)	3.52 ↑ (3.31)	4.15 ↑ (3.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Desamparados
52%

Draw
26%

Aserrí
22%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.2%

28%

30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.8%

27.7%

31%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Desamparados has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Desamparados's performance.

Aserrí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Aserrí might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Desamparados than the current prediction. (-11.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Desamparados that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aserrí than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Aserrí could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Desamparados - Aserrí Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (4 - 1)
13', 1 - 0, Drummond T. ⚽,
32', 2 - 0, Mora R. ⚽,
38', 3 - 0, Venegas F. ⚽,
40', 4 - 0, Jimenez A. ⚽,
42', 4 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
52', 5 - 1, Casanova E. ⚽,
60', 5 - 2, ⚽,
73', 6 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 7 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Ascenso (Clausura ~ Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Desamparados won 4.

Desamparados has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Aserrí has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Aserrí may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Desamparados is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Desamparados won 7 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 26:20. (average 1.4:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Desamparados won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:6. (average 1.6:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fútbol Consultants Desamparados
Costa Rican Liga de Ascenso
28.02.26	Uruguay de Coronado - Desamparados	3:1 ✺
25.02.26	Pitbulls - Desamparados	2:0 ✺
21.02.26	Desamparados - Cariari Pococí	0:1 ✺
18.02.26	Desamparados - Carmelita	3:1 ✺
14.02.26	Escorpiones de Belén - Desamparados	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LLLWT
- Aserrí FC
Costa Rican Liga de Ascenso
09.03.26	Aserrí - Uruguay de Coronado	1:0 ✺
02.03.26	Pitbulls - Aserrí	0:0 ✺
22.02.26	Aserrí - Escorpiones de Belén	0:2 ✺
18.02.26	Aserrí - Pitbulls	1:0 ✺
15.02.26	Carmelita - Aserrí	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 WTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Costa Rican Liga de Ascenso
26.01.26	Aserrí - Desamparados	0:0
05.11.25	Aserrí - Desamparados	1:3
31.08.25	Desamparados - Aserrí	2:1
10.04.25	Aserrí - Desamparados	0:1
05.02.25	Desamparados - Aserrí	1:0
03.10.24	Desamparados - Aserrí	2:0
21.08.24	Aserrí - Desamparados	1:0

Desamparados - Aserrí: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide